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1、JournalofWaterResourcesResearch水资源研究,2014,3(1),41-49http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/jwrr.2014.31007PublishedOnlineFebruary2014(http://www.hanspub.org/journal/jwrr.html)CharacteristicsandInfluencesofPrecipitationTendencyinFoshanunderEnvironmentalVariations1,211111*NingningShi,JiayiLiu
2、,YanliangKuang,YueyingZhou,QiangLiao,ZufaLiu1CenterofWaterResourcesandEnvironment,SunYat-senUniversity,Guangzhou2NanjingWaterPlanningandDesigningInstituteCo.Ltd,Nanjing*Email:eeslzf@mail.sysu.edu.cnthththReceived:Sep.30,2013;revised:Nov.20,2013;accepted:Nov.26,2013Copyright©2014
3、NingningShietal.ThisisanopenaccessarticledistributedundertheCreativeCommonsAttributionLicense,whichpermitsunrestricteduse,distribution,andreproductioninanymedium,providedtheoriginalworkisproperlycited.InaccordanceoftheCreativeCommonsAttributionLicenseallCopyrights©2014arereserve
4、dforHansandtheowneroftheintellectualpropertyNingningShietal.AllCopyright©2014areguardedbylawandbyHansasaguardian.Abstract:PrecipitationdataofmainprecipitationstationsofFoshan’s5zonesduring1956-2010areana-lyzedbyThiessenPolygonstoexploretheaveragemonthlyprecipitationofFoshan.Them
5、ethodoflinearre-gressionisusedtodetectthevariationcharacteristicsofmonthlyandquarterlyprecipitation.ThemethodofmovingaverageandMann-Kendallareusedtoexplorethevariationtendency,significanceandmutationde-tectionofFoshan’sprecipitationduringthose50years.Combinedwiththevariationofcl
6、imaticenvironment,theseconclusionsaredrawn:theprecipitationofFoshanisgettinghigherduring1956-2010,andamutationofrisingwasdetectedin1997;Foshan’sannualaverageprecipitationispositivelycorrelatedwiththeannualaveragetemperatureofGuangdong;theprecipitationofsummerismainlycontrolledby
7、urbanheatislandcausedbyhumanactivities.Noregularpatternisdetectedinannualvariationofextremeprecipitation.Keywords:Foshan;EnvironmentalVariation;PrecipitationCharacteristics;Influences;TendencyAnalysis变化环境下的佛山降雨趋势特征及影响因素分析1,211111*施宁宁，刘嘉仪，邝燕良，周月英，廖强，刘祖发1中山大学水资源与环境研究中心，广州2南京市水利规划设
8、计院有限责任公司，南京*Email:eeslzf@mail.sysu.edu.cn收稿日期：2
