small area estimates produced using loglinear models in sas–discussion and implementation

small area estimates produced using loglinear models in sas–discussion and implementation

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1、SmallareaestimatesproducedusingloglinearmodelsinSAS–discussionandimplementationPreparedbyChunguiQiaoPreparedforCentreforSocialResearchandEvaluationTePokapūRangahauArotakiHaporiWorkingPaper01/06February2006CSREWORKINGPAPER01/06Smallareaestimatesproducedusingloglinearmode

2、lsinSAS–discussionandimplementationMONTH/YEARFebruary2006CORRESPONDINGCONTACTPleaseemailanycommentsandquestionsto:CSRE_Project_Officer@msd.govt.nzAUTHORChunguiQiaoACKNOWLEDGEMENTSThispaperisbasedonarticlepublishedinLABOUR:ReviewofLabourEconomicsandIndustrialRelations©20

3、05BlackwellPublishing.TheauthorgratefullythanksMrMikeDohertyforhissubstantialassistanceinmodellingandSASprogramming,andDrDongwenLuoandMrJamesSwindellsfortheirvaluablecommentsandsuggestionsonimprovingthemanuscript.DISCLAIMERTheviewsexpressedinthisWorkingPaperarethoseofth

4、eauthorandnotnecessarilytheMinistryofSocialDevelopment.Thispaperispresentedwithaviewtoinformandstimulatewiderdebate.MSDMinistryofSocialDevelopmentPOBox12136WellingtonPh:+6449163300Fax:+6449180099Websitewww.msd.govt.nzContentsAbstractiIntroduction1Loglinearmodellinginthe

5、generalisedlinearmodelframework3SmallareaestimationandStructurePREservingEstimation(SPREE)3Loglinearmodelling3Potentialapplicationofloglinearmodellinginsmallareaestimation4NovelSASprogrammingonloglinearmodelling6Exampleapplicationsoftheapproach6Demonstrationofthelogline

6、armodellingprocedure7Sometechnicalissues11Discussion14Potentialapplicationsoftheloglinearmodellingapproach14Areasofprecautionandfuturedirections14References17AppendixA:MSDunemploymentcountsforthreeagegroupsforthequarterendingDecember199619AppendixB:MSDunemploymentcounts

7、for11agegroupsforthequarterendingDecember199620AppendixC:DesignmatrixfortheMSDcensusdataonunemploymentofTable121AppendixD:DesignmatrixfortheMSDcensusdataonunemploymentofTable2,whereage(henceagesquared)isusedasacontinuousvariable22AppendixE:FundamentalSASprograms23Append

8、ixF:MoreefficientSASprograms26AbstractThispaperprovidesacost-effectiveapproachtocreatingnewregionalinformation

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