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1、SlowCatastrophes,CumulativeImpacts,MultipleScalesandResilienceintheOil-TarSands:ACaseforCollaborativeCommunicationandCommunicativePlanning?NancyC.DoubledayPresentedat:TheVirginiaTechSymposiumonEnhancingResiliencetoCatastrophicEventsthroughCommunicativePlanning:November16-18,2008.Corres
2、pondingauthor:NancyC.DoubledayAssociateProfessorGeography&EnvironmentalStudiesCarletonUniversity1125ColonelByDriveOttawa,Ontario,CanadaK1S5B6Nancy_Doubleday@carleton.cancdday@gmail.comNote:Pleasecontactcorrespondingauthorforpermissionpriortoanyuseofthisdraft.Pleasedonotciteinanyformwit
3、houtpermission.39IntroductionIfwewishforthecapacitytodevelopalternativescenariosforthefuturethatsupportsocial-ecologicalresilience,andtoreduceourprospectsofconfronting“unthinkable”http://www.ipg.vt.edu/resilience/wheneverpossiblebyanticipatingitandadjustingcourseproactivelythen,arguabl
4、y,weareatapointwhereweneedtoadvanceourconceptual,technologicalandcommunicativeapproachestocollaborationacrossscales.Intermsofplanningandpreparingfortheunthinkable,regardlessofscale,firstwemustenvisionit.Visionrequiresinturnintegrationofknowledgefromdiversesources,innovelconfigurations.
5、Attimes,itseemsthatcollectivelywepossessmorethanenoughknowledgebutlackthecapacitytoputittogetherinaconceptuallyandultimatelypoliticallycompellingway.Intermsofbringaboutconceptualchange,collectiveeffortsclearlymatter,andhencetheimportanceofcollaborativemeetingssuchasthis.Earliercollabor
6、ativeachievementsinconceptualdevelopmentrelatedtoresilienceunderscorethispointandbringustothesignificanceofthepresentsymposium.Forexample,wehaverecognizedthelinkagesthatexist,particularlyintermsofscaleandsystemdynamics(Gundersonetal.,1995);andwehaveestablishedincontestablytheintegrated
7、characterofsocial-cultural-ecologicalsystemsandtheneedtoaddressthemassuch(e.g.BerkesandFolke,1998).Wehaveenvisionedsystemsofsystemsas“panarchies”ofsystemsandadaptivecycles,offeringalternativemetaphorsfororganisationandchange(GundersonandHolling,2002).Wehavepressedforwardinsociallearn
