predictive modeling applications in actuarial science predictive modeling techniques

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1、PredictiveModelingApplicationsinActuarialScienceVolumeI:PredictiveModelingTechniquesPredictivemodelinginvolvestheuseofdatatoforecastfutureevents.Itreliesoncapturingrelationshipsbetweenexplanatoryvariablesandthepredictedvariablesfrompastoccurrencesandexploiting

2、theserelationshipstopredictfutureoutcomes.Forecastingfuturefinancialeventsisacoreactuarialskill–actuariesroutinelyapplypredictivemodelingtechniquesininsuranceandotherriskmanagementapplications.Thisbookisforactuariesandotherfinancialanalystswhoaredevelopingtheire

3、xpertiseinstatisticsandwishtobecomefamiliarwithconcreteexamplesofpredictivemodeling.Thebookalsoaddressestheneedsofmoreseasonedpracticinganalystswhowouldlikeanoverviewofadvancedstatisticaltopicsthatareparticularlyrelevantinactuarialpractice.PredictiveModelingAp

4、plicationsinActuarialScienceemphasizeslife-longlearn-ingbydevelopingtoolsinaninsurancecontext,providingtherelevantactuarialapplications,andintroducingadvancedstatisticaltechniquesthatcanbeusedbyanalyststogainacompetitiveadvantageinsituationswithcomplexdata.Edw

5、ardW.FreesistheHickman-LarsonProfessorofActuarialScienceattheWisconsinSchoolofBusiness,UniversityofWisconsin-Madison.RichardA.DerrigisthepresidentofOpalConsultingLLCandavisitingprofessorofRisk,Insurance,andHealthcareManagementatFoxSchoolofBusiness,TempleUniver

6、sity.GlennMeyershasrecentlyretiredasvicepresidentandchiefactuaryatISOInnovativeAnalytics.INTERNATIONALSERIESONACTUARIALSCIENCEEditorialBoardChristopherDaykin(IndependentConsultantandActuary)AngusMacdonald(Heriot-WattUniversity)TheInternationalSeriesonActuarial

7、Science,publishedbyCambridgeUniversityPressinconjunctionwiththeInstituteandFacultyofActuaries,containstextbooksforstudentstakingcoursesinorrelatedtoactuarialscience,aswellasmoreadvancedworksdesignedforcontinuingprofessionaldevelopmentorfordescribingandsynthesi

8、zingresearch.Theseriesisavehicleforpublishingbooksthatreflectchangesanddevelopmentsinthecurriculum,thatencouragetheintroductionofcoursesonactuarialscienceinuniversities,andthatshowh