demand forecasting for inventory control multi-sku forecasts

demand forecasting for inventory control multi-sku forecasts

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时间:2018-02-10

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1、Chapter7Multi-SKUForecasts7.1IntroductionAnskuisanabbreviationforthetermstock-keeping-unitthatidentifiesanitembe-ingintheinventoryatastockinglocation.Couldbeapartnumber,aproductnum-ber,astylenumber,soforth.Shouldamodelofacertaintoolbeinstockatadealer,itisansku

2、atthatdealer.Ifthesamemodelisinstockin1000dealers,itisanskuineachofthe1000dealers.Itisalsoanskuateachdistributioncenterthatstocksthemodel.Atruckpartsdealertypicallyhas15,000skusandatruckdistributioncentermayhave100,000skus.Ashoestoreinthemallmayhave2000skusins

3、hoesalone,sinceeachstylebysizeandwidthisaseparatesku.Forecastsareneededforeachsku(usuallymonthly)touseintheinventorystockingcomputations.Whenapartisstockedasaservicepartinaninventorysystemwithfivedistri-butioncenters(DC),thepartisanskuineachoftheDC’s.Forecasts

4、areneededforeachpartbylocationtoarrangefortheproperstockateachlocation.Aforecastisalsoneededfortheaggregatedemandsofthepartinalllocationssoeconomicreplenishmentsofthepartfromthesuppliercanbedetermined.Considerastyleshoewith36sizeandwidthcombinations.Eachsizean

5、dwidthforthestyleshoeisansku.Forecastsareneededforeachsizeandwidthtobeusedintheinventorydecisionsatthedistributioncentersandateachstore.Theforecastistypicallygeneratedforthestyleitself,andthisforecastisapportioneddowntoeachofthesizeandwidthcombinations.Thesame

6、scenarioalsooccursinclothing,likemen’sshirts,withdifferentsizeandwidths,andsoforth.Thischapterdescribestwocommonwaystoforecastwhenmultipleskusareofconcerninaninventorysystem,thetop-downmethodandthebottom-upmethod.Top-downiswhentheaggregatedemandhistoryisusedto

7、forecastthedemandsoverthefuturemonths.Theaggregateforecastisthenallocateddowntoeachskuusinganskupercentrepresentingit’sportionofthetotaldemand.Thisway,theforecastsforthetotalandforeachskuaregeneratedinasystematicmanner.The©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitze

8、rland201589N.T.Thomopoulos,DemandForecastingforInventoryControl,DOI10.1007/978-3-319-11976-2_7907Multi-SKUForecastsTable7.1 Locationjdemandsx(j,t),andtotaldemandx(t),atmonthttx(1,t

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