国际清算银行-全球-银行业-BIS工作论文:G-SIBs之间的波动溢出和资本缓冲-20200414.pdf

国际清算银行-全球-银行业-BIS工作论文:G-SIBs之间的波动溢出和资本缓冲-20200414.pdf

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时间:2020-05-02

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1、BISWorkingPapersNo856VolatilityspilloversandcapitalbuffersamongtheG-SIBsbyPaulDMcNelisandJamesYetmanMonetaryandEconomicDepartmentApril2020JELclassification:C58,F65,G21,G28.Keywords:G-SIBs;contagion;connectedness;bankcapital;crossvalidation.BISWorkingPapersarewrittenbymembersoftheMonetar

2、yandEconomicDepartmentoftheBankforInternationalSettlements,andfromtimetotimebyothereconomists,andarepublishedbytheBank.Thepapersareonsubjectsoftopicalinterestandaretechnicalincharacter.TheviewsexpressedinthemarethoseoftheirauthorsandnotnecessarilytheviewsoftheBIS.Thispublicationisavaila

3、bleontheBISwebsite(www.bis.org).©BankforInternationalSettlements2020.Allrightsreserved.Briefexcerptsmaybereproducedortranslatedprovidedthesourceisstated.ISSN1020-0959(print)ISSN1682-7678(online)VolatilityspilloversandcapitalbuffersamongtheG-SIBsPaulDMcNelisandJamesYetman1April2020Abstra

4、ctWeassessthedynamicsofvolatilityspilloversamongglobalsystemicallyimportantbanks(G-SIBs).Wemeasurespilloversusingvector-autoregressivemodelsofrangevolatilityoftheequitypricesofG-SIBs,togetherwithmachinelearningmethods.Wethencomparethesizeofthesespilloverswiththedegreeofsystemicimportanc

5、emeasuredbytheBaselCommitteeonBankingSupervision’sG-SIBbucketdesignations.Wefindahighpositivecorrelationbetweenthetwo.Wealsofindthathigherbankcapitalreducesvolatilityspillovers,especiallyforbanksinhigherG-SIBbuckets.Ourresultssuggestthatrequiringbanksthataredesignatedasbeingmoresystemic

6、allyimportantgloballytoholdadditionalcapitalislikelytoreducevolatilityspilloversfromthemtootherlargebanks.Keywords:G-SIBs;contagion;connectedness;bankcapital;crossvalidation.JELclassifications:C58,F65,G21,G28.1RobertBendheimProfessorofEconomic&FinancialPolicy,GabelliSchoolofBusiness,For

7、dhamUniversity,45ColumbusAvenue,Room602A,NewYork,NY10023,USA,mcnelis@fordham.edu;andPrincipalEconomist,BankforInternationalSettlements.RepresentativeOfficeforAsiaandthePacific,78thFloor,TwoIFC,8FinanceStreet,Central,HongKongSAR,james.yetman@bis.org.WethankStijnClaessens,PageCon

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