上海住宅市场分析.ppt

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1、StudyontheHousingMarketinShanghaiYiwenYangNovember200828August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiTheProspectoftheHousingmarketandSteelUsageinShanghai28August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiPart1DetailsEconomyDemographyResidentialBuilding28Augu

2、st2021GDPGDPinShanghaihasbeengrowingrapidlyformoretenyearsandthegrowthratewasover10%.GDPinShanghaireachedCNY1.2trillionin2007whichshared4.8%inGDPofChinaatthesameterm.PerCapitaGDPinShanghaicametoCNY66,000in2007whichwasalmosttwiceasmanyastheonein2000.PerCapitaGDPinShanghaiwas

3、thehighestamongthedirectjurisdictioncitiesinChinaanditwasthriceorfourfoldasmanyasthePerCapitaGDPinChinafrom2000through2007.Robusteconomygrowthtocontinuein2007Source:NationalBureauofStatistics(NBS)28August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiPart1DetailsEconomyDe

4、mographyResidentialBuilding28August2021PopulationPopulationinShanghaireached18.6millionin2007whichheld1.4%ofthetotalpopulationofChina.NaturalgrowthofpopulationinShanghaididn’tgodownuntil2004andbegantogoupin2005.Itfluctuatedby0.96-3.14‰duringin2005andin2007.18.6millionpeople

5、liveinShanghai.Source:NBS28August2021IncomeofResidentsPercapitaannualdisposableincomeofresidentsinShanghaikeptasteadygrowthallthetimefrom1994to2007anditreachedCNY16378andCNY10145forurbanandruralresidentsrespectivelyin2007.AnincreasingresidentsincomeshowsthatresidentsinShang

6、haihasmoreandmorestrongpurchasecapacity.ThepurchasecapacityofresidentsinShanghaiisgettingstrongercontinuously.Source:NBS28August2021ContentsTheReviewoftheHousingMarketinShanghaiPart1DetailsEconomyDemographyResidentialBuilding28August2021InvestmentValueforHousingInvestmentva

7、lueofbuildingfromrealestatedeveloperhasbeengoingupsince1999andarrivedatCNY131billionin2007.InvestmentvalueforhousinginShanghaideclinedbyabout9%in2006affectedbythecontrolofgovernmentforoverheatingrealestateinChina,butitmaintainedstablein2007.Itshared19%-30%oflocalFAIduringin

8、2000andin2007.Investmentvalueforhousingdeclinedin2006,butitmaintainedstablein2007.