运用财务报表分析方法在低账面市值比股票中区别赢家和输家【外文翻译】.doc

运用财务报表分析方法在低账面市值比股票中区别赢家和输家【外文翻译】.doc

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1、本科毕业论文(设计)外文翻译原文SeparatingWinnersfromLosersamongLowBook-to・MarketStocksusingFinancialStatementAnalysisThispapertestswhetherastrategybasedonfinancialstatementanalysisoflowbook-to-market(growth)stocksissuccessfulindifferentiatingbetweenwinnersandlosersint

2、ermsoffuturestockperformance.Icreateanindex(G_SCORE)basedonacombinationoftraditionalfundamentalssuchasearningsandcashflowsandmeasuresappropriateforgrowthfirmssuchasthestabilityofearningsandgrowthandtheintensityofR&D,capitalexpenditureandadvertising.Astr

3、ategybasedonbuyinghighG_SCOREfirmsandshortinglowG_SCOREfirmsconsistentlyearnssignificantexcessreturns.Theresultsarerobustacrosspartitionsbasedonsize,stockprice,analystfollowing,exchangelistingandpriorperformanceandarenotaffectedbytheinclusionoromissiono

4、fIPOfirms.Theexcessreturnspersistaftercontrollingforwelldocumentedriskandanomalyfactorssuchasmomentum,book-to-market,accrualsandsize.Thestockmarketingeneralandanalystsinparticulararemuchmorelikelytobepositivelysurprisedbyfirmswhosegrowthorientedfundamen

5、talsarestrong,indicatingthatthestockmarketfailstograspthefutureimplicationsofcurrentfundamentals.Further,theresultsdonotsupportariskbasedexplanationforthebook-to-marketeffectasthestrategyreturnspositivereturnsinallyears,andfirmsthatex-anteappearlessrisk

6、yhavebetterfuturereturns.Toconclude,onecanuseamodifiedfundamentalanalysisstrategytoidentifymispricingandearnsubstantialabnormalreturns.Thispaperexamineswhetherapplyingfinancialstatementanalysiscanhelpinvestorsearnexcessreturnsonabroadsampleofgrowth,orlo

7、wbook-to-market(BM)firms.TheBMeffectiswelldocumentedinresearchinfinance.Onaverage,firmswithlowBMearnsignificantnegativeexcessreturns,whilefirmswithhighBMearnsignificantpositiveexcessreturns.LowBMfirms,alsoreferredtoasgrowthorglamourstocks,haveexperience

8、dverystrongstockperformanceinpriorperiods,whilehighBMfirms,alsoreferredtoasvaluestocks,havetypicallyunderperformedinpriorperiods.Thereisconsiderabledisagreementamongstresearchersastothecauseofthebook-to-marketeffect.FamaandFrench

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