Refractories in the Asian century亚洲世纪耐火说明材料.pdf

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1、DrRichardFlook-ShinagawaRefractoriesAustralasiaPtyLtdRefractoriesintheAsiancenturyRefractoriesintheAsiancenturyMarch2012RftiithAiRefractoriesintheAsiancentturyMarch2012AdAgenda¢TheAsianCenturyTheAsianCentury-longtermviewlongtermview¢TheAsianCentury-shorttermview¢Keyref

2、ractorymarkets¢MineralsforrefractoriesAdAgenda¢TheAsianCenturyTheAsianCentury-longtermviewlongtermviewYueMinjunandtheSymbolicSmileEiEconomisttsviiew–glblt10lobaltop10economiiesRank1870201020501ChinaUSAChina2IndiaJapanUSA3UidKidUnitedKingdomChinaIdiIndia4USAGermanyJapan

3、5GermanyUnitedKingdomUnitedKingdomGermany6FranceFranceUnitedKingdom7ItalyItalyBrazil8JapanIndiaMexico9SpainBrazilFrance10IndonesiaCanadaCanadaSource:HSBCFebruary2012EiEconomisttsviiew–Ait10Asiantop10economi*ies*Rank187020102050*Global1China(1)Japan(2)China(1)rankinbrac

4、kets2India(2)China(3)India(3)3Japan(8)IdiIndia(7)Japan(4)4Indonesia(10)SouthKorea(11)SouthKorea(13)5SouthKoreaSouthKorea(24)Indonesia(21)Philippines(16)6Vietnam(28)Thailand(29)Indonesia(17)7Thailand(33)Singapore(31)Malaysia(21)8Philippines(35)Malaysia(38)Thailand(23)9N

5、orthKorea(()36)Philippines(()43)Pakistan(()30)10SriLanka(39)Pakistan(44)Bangladesh(31)Source:HSBCFebruary2012DiDriversarepopultilation&&bitiurbanisationSource:UNWorldUrbanisationProspects2010DemographicswillilllalsoiiflnfluencedemandSource:HolcimJanuary2012…andthdthent

6、hthieriseoffAfiAfricaAsianpopulation4.5B2100Africanpopulation3.5B2100Source:UNWorldPopulationGlblGlobalconstructionmarkktet-up67%b202067%by2020Source:HolcimJanuary2012CttConstructiionmarkketltglobballkrankiingRank20102020(E)1ChinaChina2USAUSA3JapanIndia4IndiaJapan5Germ

7、anyCanada6FranceIndonesia1220107CanadaFrance8SpainGermany9ItalyAustralia11201010UnitedKingdomSpainSource:HolcimOctober2011AdAgenda¢TheAsianCenturyTheAsianCentury-longtermviewlongtermview¢TheAsianCentury-shorttermviewIMF-GlblGlobalrecoverysttllalls,downsideriikitsksinte

8、nsifyGlobalGDPGrowth(Percent;quarterover(Percent;quarteroverquarter,annualized)Source:IMFWEOOutlookJanuary2012Slowrec