NOKIA最新风险管理(英文版).ppt

NOKIA最新风险管理(英文版).ppt

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时间:2020-03-14

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1、MikkoRouttiDirector,RiskManagementNokiaCorporationRiskManagementMainThemesofPresentationscopeofpresentation:businessrisk(widely)ourphilosophyaboutriskmanagementwherewearetodayonthejourneyofERMhowtodothisinourorganisationbalancebetween"practical,value-basedandanalytical,fact-based"thinkingwhatkind

2、ofmethodsandtoolsweuse(e.g)howdoweandotherscommunicateaboutthis"Itisonethingtosetupamathematicalmodelthatappearstoexplaineverything.Butwhenwefacethestruggleofdailylife,ofconstanttrialanderror,theabiguityofthefactsaswellasthepowerofthehumanheartbeatcanobliteratethemodelinshortorder."PeterL.Bernste

3、in:AgainsttheGods-TheRemarkablestoryofRisk“Wearenotjustaddingalloftheseriskstogether.Wearecreatingaprobabilisticviewofhowmuchcapitalisactuallynecessary.”--RickBuy,ChiefRiskOfficer,Enron“Wereviewhowgooditcanget,wereviewhowbaditcanget,andeveryplaceinbetween.”--RickCausey,EVPandChiefAccountingOffice

4、r,EnronWhatdoesriskappetitemeaninpractice?Arewefocusingonopportunity?Isthereaclearviewoftheappetiteforrisk?Istherebalanceinrisksandrewards?(i.e.highrisksvslowrewards)Whereshouldmostofmanagement’seffortbedirected?AGenericBusinessRiskContinuumOpportunityUncertaintyHazardComplianceAndPreventionOpera

5、tingPerformanceStrategicInitiativesKeyQuestionstoConsider...EnvironmentHealth&safetySupplychainSoftwareProductcreationRISKUNIVERSEHowdoesriskmanifestitself?–Fortune1000GroupAnalysisOnehundred(10%)oftheFortune1000companiessufferedalossofover25%ofshareholdervaluewithinonemonthCostOverrunsAccounting

6、irregularitiesManagementineffective-nessSupplyChainIssuesCompetitivePressureM&AIntegrationProblemsMis- alignedProductsCustomerPricingPressureLossof Key CustomerSupplierProblemsR&DDelaysCustomerDemandShortfall%oftop100RegulatoryProblemsStrategicOperationalFinancialHazardForeign Macro- Economic Iss

7、uesInterest Rate Fluct- uationHigh Input Comm- odity PriceLaw- suitsNaturalDisasters58%31%6%0%PrimaryCauseofStockDrop(#ofCompanies)Source:Compustat,MercerManagementConsultinganalysisNote:Therewerealso5stockdropsforwhic

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