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1、Theresearchonpricegamemodelanddelaydecisionaboutthreeoligarchs9insurancemarketbasedonthefactorofmarketshareMAJunnhai,RENWenbo(SchoolofManagementandEconomic,TianjinUniversity,TianJin300072)Abstract:AccordingtotheactualsituationofoligarchspricegameinChineseinsurancemarket,weinnovationtoc
2、onsideringtheinfluenceofprofitandmarketsharefactorstotheoligarchsdecision-makingsynthetically,andhavethefurtherconsiderationontheimpactsofdifferentpriceadjustmentspeedandthedifferentscalesofdelaystrategiesonthegameprocess.Andthenestablishedthecorrespondingthreeoligarchs5pricegamemodelw
3、iththeoperationofinsurancemarket,havetheanalysistothecharacteristicsofthesystem^complexitybyusingnonlineardynamicsystemtheory,thenprobeintoitscomplexityevolutiontrendcharacteristics・Finally,havethecorrespondingeconomicandmanagementsenseanalysisofthesystemaccordingtotheLyapunovexponentf
4、igureandstrangeatlraclor.Throughthenumericalsimulation,confirmedtheaccuracyoftheresults・Theresearchconclusionhasgoodguidancemeaningforinsurancemarkettokeepbenigncompetitivesituationandthedeterminationofthegameprice.Keywords:Insurancemarket;Gametheory;Oligopoly;Delaydecisions0Introducti
5、onAfterdecades'development,Chineseinsurancemarkethasenteredintothesituationofoligopolypossessthemarket,andhavethecompetitionindifferentinsuranceproduct.Ithasbecomethemostimportantissuethathowtooccupyinitiativeinthecomplicatedcompetition,andhavetheupperhandintheprocessofgame・Thisissuewi
6、llsurelyimpactontheChineseinsurancecompany'sdevelopmentanddecision-making.Inrecentyears,Chinesedomesticinsurancebusinesshasdevelopedrapidly,since2001,thegrowthrateofcoveragehaskeeplargerthan9%for1()years,2010yearisincreasedby13.83%year-on-year,andin2011theinsuranceindustryaccountedgros
7、srevenuefor3.4%・WiththerapidlydevelopmentofChineseinsurancemarket,whichhasproducestrongdrivingforcetothenationaleconomy,wcnoticethatthereexistsaseriesoffeaturesofChineseinsurancemarket,themostofwhichistheoligopoly.WefindthatthelopfourofthemarketshareinC&Chineseinsurancecompanyaccount