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时间:2019-12-01
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1、Part3–PublicExpenditure:SocialInsuranceandIncomeMaintenanceChapter11–SocialSecurityBriefOutline1.WhyHaveSocialSecurity?a.ConsumptionSmoothingandtheAnnuityMarketb.AdverseSelectionandtheAnnuityMarketc.OtherJustifications2.StructureofSocialSecuritya.BasicCo
2、mponentsb.DistributionalIssuesc.TheTrustFund3.EffectofSocialSecurityonEconomicBehaviora.SavingBehaviorb.RetirementDecisionsc.Implications4.Long-termStressesonSocialSecurity5.SocialSecurityReforma.MaintaintheCurrentSystemb.PrivatizetheSystem6.ConclusionsA
3、nswers1.Withadverseselection,insurancecontractswithmorecomprehensivecoveragearechosenbypeoplewithhigherunobservedaccidentprobabilities.Tomakeupforthefactthatabenefitismorelikelytobepaidtosuchindividuals,theinsurerchargesahigherpremiumperunitofinsuranceco
4、verage.2.Individualswhodonotsaveenoughfortheirretirementyearsmaybelievethatthegovernmentwillfeelobligedtocometotheiraidiftheyareinasufficientlydesperatesituation.Withthisbelief,youngerindividualsmaypurposelyneglecttosaveadequately.Onejustificationforthec
5、ompulsorynatureofSocialSecurityistoaddresstheinefficientlylowsavingcausedbymoralhazard.3.Usethebasicformulaforbalanceinapay-as-you-gosocialsecuritysystem:t=(Nb/Nw)*(B/w).Call1990year1and2050year2.Thent1=.267*(B/w)1t2=.458*(B/w)2Itfollowsthattokeep(B/w)1=
6、(B/w)2werequiret2/t1=.458/.267=1.71.Thatis,taxrateswouldhavetoincreaseby71percent.Similarly,tokeeptheinitialtaxrateconstant,wewouldrequire(B/w)2/(B/w)1=.267/.458=0.58.Benefitswouldhavetofallalmostbyhalf.11-3Copyright©2014McGraw-HillEducation.Allrightsres
7、erved.NoreproductionordistributionwithoutthepriorwrittenconsentofMcGraw-HillEducation.Part3–PublicExpenditure:SocialInsuranceandIncomeMaintenance1.ThesharpincreaseinthenumberofelderlymenwhomarryyoungwomenaffectsthesolvencyoftheBraziliansystembecause,afte
8、rtheearnerdies,thenon-earningspousecancontinuetoreceivepensionbenefits.Theyoungwomencollectformanymoreyearsthananoldernon-earningspouses,resultinginhigher-than-expectedpayouts.2.Austen’squoteseemslikeitcouldrelateadversese
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