中国人口迁移特征及其影响因素_基于第六次人口普查数据的分析_刘晏伶

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1、ದ໓৘୍௹ሹ௹໓ᅣщ1003-2398(2014)02-0129-09ᇏݓದ१థ၍หᆘࠣః႕ཙၹ෍iiࠎႿੂՑದ१௴Ұඔऌٳ༅ਾᤞਯđڈࡲčКࣘն࿐Ӭ൧აߌ࣢࿐ჽđКࣘ100871ĎCHARACTERISTICSANDIMPACTFACTORSOFMIGRATIONINCHINA:BASEDONTHEANALYSISOFTHESIXTHCENSUSDATALIUYan-ling,FENGJiančCollegeofUrbanandEnvironmentalSciences,PekingUniversity,Beijing100871,ChinaĎAbstract:Th

2、ispaperusesthesixthcensusdatatostudyChina'spopulationmigrationphenomenonin2010.Firstofall,thepaperdoesquantitativeanalysisofdistributionofage,gender,educationallevel,occupationalandothersocialcharacteristicsof2010non-permanentmigrationpopulation,whichhasaverytypicalfea-ture,andiscloselyrelatedwi

3、ththesurvivalanddevelopmentcomplementaryofflowingpopulationinlargecities.Then,theauthorsanalyzethecharacteristicsoftypologyofmigration,includingthereasonofmigra-tion,ruralvsurbandistributionofmigrationpopulation,thetimeofmigration,thecrossinganalysisbetweenmigrationtypesandsocio-economicattribut

4、e.Byintroducingtheconceptofemploymentaccessibility,theauthorstrytostudythefollowingaspectsincludingthespatialpatternoftherateofmigration,thematchingrelationshipofspacebetweenemploymentaccessibilityandtherateofmigration,thespatialpatternofmi-grationflow.Atlast,thepapertakesamultiplelinearregressi

5、onmodeltoanalyzetheimpactofthepersonalcharacteristicsoftheflowingpopulationandsocialfactorsin2010onmigrationchoice.Andtheresultsshowthatthereisapositivecorrelationbetweentherateofmigrationandtheincomeofurbanresidentsofimmigrationdestination,whilethereisanegativecorrelationbetweentherateofmigrati

6、onandotherfactorsincludingtheincomeofurbanresidentsofemigrationdestination,thescientificandculturallevelofimmi-grationdestination,thedistanceofmigrationandtheincomeoftheruralareaofimmigrationdestination.Keywords:migration;inter-provincemigration;demographicpattern;employmentaccessibility;thesixt

7、hcensusิေğ利用2010年第六次人口普查数据，对我口迁移率的分布。最后，采取多元线性回归技术研究国人口迁移的特征及其影响因素进行研究。首先分析了人口迁移的影响因素，结果表明，迁入地城镇居民了包括年龄、性别、受教育程度和职业分布等在内的收入与迁移率呈正相关关系，而迁出地城镇收入、迁迁移人群的社会经济特征，继而从迁移原因、迁移人入地的科技文化水平、迁移距离和迁入地农村收入则口的城乡分布、迁移时间、迁移类型与属性的交叉分与迁移率呈负相关关系。