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ID:46229153
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页数:48页
时间:2019-11-21
《房地产价格的影响因素分析》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在工程资料-天天文库。
1、江西财经大学硕士学位论文房地产价格的影响因素分析姓名:田磊申请学位级别:硕士专业:统计学指导教师:李志强20081001AbstractAsanmp0rtantsegmient0fs0cetywea1th,r2、s1yaffectsfinanceindustry9Asaresu1t,•1tsf1uctuat•1onnot0n1yhasgreatirnPactonfinan•cesafetybuta1s0•1nf1uencesstabi1ityanddeve10Pment0fmacr0ec0n0micS・n1which•1sdeSt3、royingAmer•1can:financesystemndeVieintheglobe.•T1nancesystem1sa1soreSu1tedfromthe1a1sePr0speriy,inrca1cstatcmarkct•N0w•1nhinathemechanismofec0nomicdeve10PimentiSforcedtochange•Investmentandexportwhichimpetuseconomyinoldwaywi11gradua11ygivewaytoconsumption,themostimporta4、ntresourceof吕rowthinnewway・Insuchmacroeeonomiccircumstance,astheimportantconsuinptionandinvestmentmarketforresidence,thereale$tate*Ssustainableandhealthydeve1opmentseemsmorecrueia1tothechangeofgrowthmechanism.Now,Government,Academicpeop1eandbusinessmenhavedifferentopini5、onsontherationa1ityoftheprice・SoitisverynecessaryforUStomakcdccpandoriginalresearchontherealestateprice6、briumpracemodeUbPePp1oYihglltrongereconometricstoo1andinc1udingVariablereflectingpeople'Sexpectationonfuturerealestateprice,whichworksontheprimesthatabsorbingtheproveneonc1usionfromforeignreferences・Afterusingpositiveanalysistovenfyhoweconomyvariablesuchasincome,rate,ex7、pectationinfluencetheequi1ibriumprice,Igetaconclusionthat:inthelongrun,disposableincome>ECI(Entrepreneurconfidenceindex)andcosthaveposichrcObc•1•1tVhe1rycca01rereS1taat•1tVeew•1thh0usepr•1ce,0nep0■nVerysens■t■Vet:0)thef1ut■1nrea1eS;tatemarketp1r•■i'icebubb1esare•1stf0cu8、ses0ntherea1estatepr•1cebubb1e9•1nsP•1nf1uence0fthepr•1cebubb1e■Thisart•10rmiat•10ra1ana1ys•1s9ItestandJudgeth
2、s1yaffectsfinanceindustry9Asaresu1t,•1tsf1uctuat•1onnot0n1yhasgreatirnPactonfinan•cesafetybuta1s0•1nf1uencesstabi1ityanddeve10Pment0fmacr0ec0n0micS・n1which•1sdeSt
3、royingAmer•1can:financesystemndeVieintheglobe.•T1nancesystem1sa1soreSu1tedfromthe1a1sePr0speriy,inrca1cstatcmarkct•N0w•1nhinathemechanismofec0nomicdeve10PimentiSforcedtochange•Investmentandexportwhichimpetuseconomyinoldwaywi11gradua11ygivewaytoconsumption,themostimporta
4、ntresourceof吕rowthinnewway・Insuchmacroeeonomiccircumstance,astheimportantconsuinptionandinvestmentmarketforresidence,thereale$tate*Ssustainableandhealthydeve1opmentseemsmorecrueia1tothechangeofgrowthmechanism.Now,Government,Academicpeop1eandbusinessmenhavedifferentopini
5、onsontherationa1ityoftheprice・SoitisverynecessaryforUStomakcdccpandoriginalresearchontherealestateprice6、briumpracemodeUbPePp1oYihglltrongereconometricstoo1andinc1udingVariablereflectingpeople'Sexpectationonfuturerealestateprice,whichworksontheprimesthatabsorbingtheproveneonc1usionfromforeignreferences・Afterusingpositiveanalysistovenfyhoweconomyvariablesuchasincome,rate,ex7、pectationinfluencetheequi1ibriumprice,Igetaconclusionthat:inthelongrun,disposableincome>ECI(Entrepreneurconfidenceindex)andcosthaveposichrcObc•1•1tVhe1rycca01rereS1taat•1tVeew•1thh0usepr•1ce,0nep0■nVerysens■t■Vet:0)thef1ut■1nrea1eS;tatemarketp1r•■i'icebubb1esare•1stf0cu8、ses0ntherea1estatepr•1cebubb1e9•1nsP•1nf1uence0fthepr•1cebubb1e■Thisart•10rmiat•10ra1ana1ys•1s9ItestandJudgeth
6、briumpracemodeUbPePp1oYihglltrongereconometricstoo1andinc1udingVariablereflectingpeople'Sexpectationonfuturerealestateprice,whichworksontheprimesthatabsorbingtheproveneonc1usionfromforeignreferences・Afterusingpositiveanalysistovenfyhoweconomyvariablesuchasincome,rate,ex
7、pectationinfluencetheequi1ibriumprice,Igetaconclusionthat:inthelongrun,disposableincome>ECI(Entrepreneurconfidenceindex)andcosthaveposichrcObc•1•1tVhe1rycca01rereS1taat•1tVeew•1thh0usepr•1ce,0nep0■nVerysens■t■Vet:0)thef1ut■1nrea1eS;tatemarketp1r•■i'icebubb1esare•1stf0cu
8、ses0ntherea1estatepr•1cebubb1e9•1nsP•1nf1uence0fthepr•1cebubb1e■Thisart•10rmiat•10ra1ana1ys•1s9ItestandJudgeth
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