美国利率分析

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1、FEARSTALKSBIGECONOMIES美国长期利率水平跌至历史低位ByAlanBeattieinLondonandMichaelMackenzieinNewYork2008-11-21FearsofasevererecessiongrippedfinancialmarketsyesterdayasdireunemploymentfiguresfromtheUSdrovelong-terminterestratesdowntorecordlows・Economicnewsacrosstheworldwasalmostuniformlybad,asslum

2、pingJapaneseexportsthreatenedtopushtheeconomyfurtherintorecessionandtheSwisscentralbankunexpectedlyslashedinterestratesbyafullpercentagepointinresponsetotheslowdown.InChina,officialswarnedthattheemploymentoutlookwasbecoming“grim：astheglobalfinancialcrisisledtomorefactoryclosuresint

3、heexportsector.Two-yearUSinterestratesslidbelow1percenttotheirlowestlevelsyetamidagatheringconvictionthattheFederalReservewouldcutinterestratesagainnextmonth・UKbondyieldsdroppedtotheirlowestsincethesecondworldwar.“ThisisallaboutdisinflationanddeflatiosaidAlanRuskin,astrategistatRBS

4、GreenwichCapital."Ratescangolowandstaylowforaprotractedperiod/5OntopofWednesday'sannouncementofarecordone-monthfallintheUSconsumerpriceindex,therisingriskofadamagingdeflationarycrunchalsosparkedageneralsell-offinequitiesandpushedoilpricesbelow$50abarrelforthefirsttimesince2005,amid

5、signsoffractureintheOpecoilcartel.Officialfiguresshowed542,000USworkersfilingnewclaimsforjoblessbenefitslastweek,thehighestnumbersincetheearly1990srecession.Thefigureswerewellaboveeconomists1forecastsofjustover500,000,andarelikelytomeananothersharpdropinemploymentinNovember.TheWhit

6、eHousesaidUSpresidentGeorgeW.BushwouldsignabillpendinginCongresstoextendunemploymentbenefitstoworkersbyatleastsevenweeks,andIongerforstateswithhigherunemploymentrates・Yesterday,someshort-termUSTreasurybillswerequotednearorbelowzeropercent.Two-yearbondyieldsfellaslowas0.96percent,th

7、elowestsincethetwo-yearnotewascreatedin1976・Yieldsonthe30-yearbondfelltoarecordlowof3.71percent.美国长期利率水平跌至历史低位英国《金融时报》艾伦•贝蒂(AlanBeattie)伦敦、边克尔•麦肯兹(MichaelMackenzie）纽约报道2008-11-21辑由于投资者担心全球可能面临一场严重衰退，各大金融市场昨日表现低迷。同时，美国糟糕的失业率数据导致长期利率下降至历史低位。全球经济新闻毫无例外地都是坏消息。日本出口下降，可能导致该国衰退加深；为应对经济放缓，

8、瑞士央行出人意料地减息整整1个百分点。中国官员警告，