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时间:2019-10-13
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1、DocumentPreparedforISDR-UNDPDisasterRisk-PovertyRegionalWorkshopsinBangkok,Thailand(22-24April2008)andBogota,Colombia(10-11June,2008)AssessingtheRelationshipbetweenNaturalHazardsandPoverty:AConceptualandMethodologicalProposalSpecialguidancehasbeenprovidedb
2、yAndrewMaskrey,Coordinatorofthe2009ISDRGlobalAssessmentReportonDisasterRiskReduction.WealsothankpreliminarycommentsandinputsfromShefaliJuneja,JulioSeije,StefanDercon,PapaSeekandparticipantsattheISDR-UNDPDisasterRisk-PovertyWorkshopinBangkok,Thailand(22-24A
3、pril2008).AlejandrodelaFuente,LuisFelipeLopez-CalvaandAromarReviPreliminarydraft:2June2008TableofContents1.MotivationandObjectives11.1Policyanddevelopmentcontext11.2Methodologicalconsiderations21.3Outlineofmethodologicalproposal32.Hypothesis43.ConceptualFr
4、amework53・1・Accessandownershipofassets53・2・Assettransformation53.3.Entitlementintowelfareoutcomes734Hazardeffectsonpoverty73.5.Adynamicreconfiguration:povertyeffectsonthepropensitytosufferhazardloss...84.StatisticalandEconometricMethods124.1.Staticpovertya
5、nalysis144.1.1.Spatialcorrelations154.2.Povertytrendsanalysis194.2.1.Districtandsub-districtregressions194.3.Povertydynamics224.3・1•Povertytransitions224.3.2・Micro-simulations295.Conclusion31Annex1一ConceptsandDefinitions331」.Hazard331.1.1.Typology331.2.Pov
6、erty341.2.1.BreadthandMultidimensionality341.2.2.Depth351.2.3-Duration3513Assets36Annex2一DataSources372・1.Hazarddata372.1丄Householdsurveys372.1.2・Secondarysources39Nationalhazarddatabases39Rainfallandseismologicalrecords412.2.Assetdata432.2.1.Householdleve
7、ldata432.2.2.Communityleveldata442.2.3.Censusandadministrativedata442.3.Welfareoutcomesdata462.3.1.Money-metricindicators462.3.2.Non-moneymetricindicators462.4.Typesofhouseholdsurveysavailable482.4.1.Singlecross-sectionaldata492.4.2.Districtandsub-district
8、paneldata492.43Householdpaneldata50Annex3一Country-studiesDatabases51Annex4一EmpiricalIllustrations54References53ListofTables,FiguresandBoxesTable1一Proposedquantitativeapproachesforhazard-povertyanalysis13Table
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