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1、IsraelandPalestine以色列和巴勒斯坦Takeabreak僵局再起Thetwo-statesolutionisstilltheonlyonethatmakessense.Butitwon'thappenthistimeround目前两国制仍是解决巴以问题的唯一方式,但这一次依然无法实现。ITISacliché:everytimeaworthymediator,inthiscaseJohnKerry,America'ssecretaryofstate,setsaboutendingtheconflictbetweenIsraelisandPalest
2、inians,peoplesaytheclock-handhasreached“aminutetomidnight”;disasterwillfollowifthepartiesfailtoagree.ByMrKerry'stimetable,thechimeswillringoutdolefullyattheendofthismonth(seearticle).Hemayfindalast-minuterewindingploytokeepbothsidesburblingabitlonger.Butthereisscantchance,evenwiththa
3、textension,ofatwo-statedealbeingdone.MrKerryhastriedhisheroicbest,butthisroundofpeacemakingisfizzlingout.这已经是老生常谈了——每当有分量的调停人出现,希望终止巴以冲突时(这一次的大人物是美国国务卿克里),人们就知道了,核威胁怕是迫在眉睫了。一旦双方谈崩,便是灾难的开始。对克里来说,本月底很可能就是哀歌奏响的最终期限。也许他还能找到缓兵之计,使两方继续谈判,但即使再拖下去,两国制的方针也很难真正实现。克里已经勇敢地做出了最大的尝试,但这一轮的调和谈判还是以失败
4、告终了。Disasterwillnotimmediatelyfollow.Asthingsstand,Israelisnotunderthreat,despiteitsunderstandableaversiontotheprospectofotherstatesintheMiddleEast,suchasIran,matchingitwithnuclearweapons.Israelisaprosperousdemocracyinaregionofchaosandbloodshed.BinyaminNetanyahu,itsprimeminister(pict
5、uredleft),isunchallenged.ThePalestiniansdemandingastateareweak,dividedandquiescent;moroseastheyare,fewfavourareturntosuicide-bombing.不过灾难也不会瞬间降临。就现在的情况来看,尽管中东的邻国,如伊朗,正在向成为核国家迈进,但以色列并没有遭受实际的威胁。在这片混乱而血腥的土地上,以色列以一个富饶的民主国家屹立于此。本雅明·内塔尼亚胡(BinyaminNetanyahu)作为以色列的总理,他的地位无可争议。巴勒斯坦也要求成为独立国家,尽
6、管他们软弱、分裂、僵化,且国民性格孤僻,但只有极少数人还支持自杀式爆炸这种恐怖暴力行为。YetIsraelcannotaffordtobecomplacentinthelongerrun,forthisstalemateposesarealthreatifthecountryistopreserveitsessenceasbothJewishanddemocratic.Itcannotstayboth,ifitindefinitelycontrolsthePalestinianterritoriesandtheirpeoplewhiledenyingthemfu
7、llrightsunderIsraelilaw,includingthevote.AndifthePalestinianswereenfranchised,demographysuggeststhataGreaterIsraelbetweentheMediterraneanandtheJordanriver,includingGaza,wouldnolongerbepredominantlyJewish.IsraelmustgivethePalestiniansaproperstateoftheirownifitistoremainaJewishdemocrac
8、y.但长久来看,以色列无