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1、FirstOffendersinNMDickRoth,BobVoas,PaulMarques2006IgnitionInterlockSymposiumPIREfundedbyNHTSAandRWJ-SAPRPOctober23,20061RothonFirstOffenders59%wereFirstin20years75%were“Firstin5years”ThePercentageofFirstOffendersDependsonLook-backTimeOctober23,20062RothonFirstOffendersTheMajorityofDWIs
2、AreFirstOffendersToReduceRecidivism,YoucannotignoreFirstOffendersToReduceFirstOffenders,GeneralDeterrence&PreventionOctober23,20063RothonFirstOffendersNMFirstDWIConvictionStudyTimePeriod:FirstConvictionsbetweenJanuary2003andDecember2005.TreatmentGroup:1461FirstOffenderswhoinstalledinte
3、rlockswithin90daysofconviction.ComparisonGroup:17,562FirstOffenderswhodidnotinstallinterlocks.CoxMultivariateProportionalHazardsRegression(Gender,Age,BAC,Group)October23,20064RothonFirstOffendersMostFirstOffenderInterlockswereinstalledforonly3monthsInstallationdurationforthe943interloc
4、ksthatwereremovedbeforetheendofthestudy.October23,20065RothonFirstOffendersInterlockedFirstOffendersHave62%LessRecidivism.October23,20066RothonFirstOffendersAfterRemovalThoseWhoWereInterlockedStillHavea19%LowerRecidivismRate…butNisnotlargeenoughforittobestatisticallysignificant.HazardR
5、atio=0.81,p=0.16,inamultivariateregression.AhintthatbadactorsDWIrightafterremovalIhopethisisnotjustastatisticalfluctuation.Timewilltell.October23,20067RothonFirstOffendersFor3yearsfollowinginterlockinstallation,Thosefirstoffenderswhoinstalled“mandated”interlockshadlowerrecidivism.H.R.=
6、0.61P<0.001October23,20068RothonFirstOffendersComparisonGroupsInterlockedGroupsInterlocksareEffectivewithCourtMandatedOffendersOctober23,20069RothonFirstOffendersComparisonGroupsInterlockedGroupsInterlocksareEffectivewithVolunteersie.Notcourt-mandatedOctober23,200610RothonFirstOffender
7、sBeforeInterlocksAfterInterlocksOctober23,200611RothonFirstOffendersOctober23,200612RothonFirstOffendersNMJudicialLaw:1yrfor1st;2for2nd;3for3rd;5for4th+Administrative:DrivelegallywithinterlockwhileRevokedOctober23,200613RothonFirstOffendersEstimateMyEstimateLastyearAtAnnecy5688SoFarO
