STOCHASTIC ROCK SLOPE ENGINEERING随机岩质工程

STOCHASTIC ROCK SLOPE ENGINEERING随机岩质工程

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时间:2019-08-08

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1、APPLICATIONSOFTHEPOINTESTIMATIONMETHODFORSTOCHASTICROCKSLOPEENGINEERINGStanleyM.MillerDepartmentofCivilEngineering,UniversityofIdaho,Moscow,ID,USAJeffreyK.Whyatt&EdwardL.McHughCDC-NIOSHSpokaneResearchLaboratory,Spokane,WA,USAABSTRACT:Thepointestimationmethodcanbeappliedtothesaf

2、etyfactor(SF)equationforanyspecifiedrockslopefailuremode(suchasplaneshear,steppath,orwedge)toobtainreliableestimatesofthemeanandstandarddeviationoftheSFprobabilitydistribution.Agammaprobabilitydensityfunctionisrecommendedformodelingthisprobabilitydistribution,becauseitallowsonl

3、yforpositivevaluesandisflexibleenoughtoprovidesymmetricalshapesandright-skewed,exponential-typeshapesfortheSFdistribution.Themeanandstandarddeviationdefinethisdistribution,whichthencanbeintegratednumericallyfrom0to1toobtaintheprobabilityofsliding,PS(portionoftheSFdistributionwh

4、ereSF<1.0).Theoverallprobabilityoffailure,PF,forthepotentialslopefailuremassisthejointprobabilitythattherockdiscontinuitiesarelongenoughtoallowkinematicfailure(PL)andthatslidingoccursalongtherockdiscontinuities(PS);thatis,PF=PSPL.Thismethodforestimatingtheprobabilityofslidingis

5、extremelyefficientcomputationally,andthus,expeditesslopestabilitysimulationroutinesusedbyNIOSHsoftwaretostochasticallydescriberockslopebehaviorandassisttheengineerindesigningcatchbenchesforlargerockslopes.Enhancedbenchdesigntranslatesintoincreasedoperationalefficiencyandsaferwo

6、rkingconditionsinopenpitminesandquarries.(NationalInstituteforOccupationalSafetyand1.INTRODUCTIONHealth)aspartofitsresearchmissiontoimproveStochasticsimulationsoffracturedrockmassescansafetyandhealthintheminingindustry.Betweenprovidevaluableinformationfortheengineering1995and20

7、03therewere42reportedfatalitiesduedesignofrockslopes,particularlywhenthenaturaltoslopefailureaccidentsatsurfaceminesinthegeologicdiscontinuitiesmayformpotentialslopeUnitedStates,atleastoneandasmanyaselevenfailuremodes.Anessentialcomponentofsucheachyear.Additionalaccidentstatist

8、icscollectedengineeringsimulationsisbeingabletocompute

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