China's natural gas market outlook

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1、IEEJ:January2011中国石油集团经济技术研究院ResearchInstituteofEconomicsandTechnologyCNPCThe4thCNPC/IEEJPressConferenceofOilMarketResearchChina’sNaturalGasMarketOutlookDuanZhaofangDecember10th,20101IEEJ:January2011OutlineITheImportantRoleofChina’sNaturalGasIITheCurrentStatusof

2、China’sNaturalGasindustryIIIOutlookforChina’sNaturalGasDemandIVOutlookforChina’sNaturalGasSupplyVConclusions2IEEJ:January2011ITheImportantRoleofChina’sNaturalGas1-1EnergydemandwillmaintainarapidgrowthChinaisacountrywithhugeenergyproductionandconsumption.In2009,

3、thetotalenergyproductionamountedto2.8billiontceandconsumptionamountedto3.1billiontce.Nearly10%oftheenergyconsumptionreliedonimport.Inthefollowing10years,energydemandwillcontinueincreasing.Itisestimatedthattheenergyconsumptionwillexceed4billiontceby2020.35003000

4、energyproductionenergyconsumption2500200015001000500Milliontonnescoalequivalent019901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009Energyconsumptionandproductionduring1990-2009inChina3IEEJ:January2011ITheImportantRoleofChina’sNatural

5、Gas1-2CoaldominatedenergymixbringsomepressureontheenvironmentChina’senergyconsumptionmixhasbeendominatedbycoal.In2009,theproportionofcoal,oil,naturalgasandhydropower,nuclearenergyandwindpowerare70.4%,17.9%,3.9%and7.8%respectively.Thedevelopedcountrieshaveenter

6、edintothethirdenergyrevolutionperiodoflow-carbon,coalonlyaccountsfor21%oftheprimaryenergyconsumption.Inaddition,theaveragelevelofcoalis29.4%intheworld.100HydroelectricNuclearEnergyOil806.6%5.5%34.8%60%402002002002002002002002002002002000123456789Hydroelectric,nu

7、clearenergy,6.47.57.36.56.76.86.76.87.77.8Coalwindpower29.4%NaturalGasNaturalGas2.22.42.42.52.52.62.93.33.73.923.8%Oil22.221.822.321.221.319.819.318.818.317.9Coal69.268.368.069.869.570.871.171.170.370.4Worldprimaryenergyconsumptionmixin20094China’senergyconsumpt

8、ionmixduring2000-2009IEEJ:January2011ITheImportantRoleofChina’sNaturalGas1-3ItisanInevitablechoicetodevelopcleanenergyChinaattachesgreatimportancetothedevelopmentofc