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1、doi:10.1111/j.1435-5957.2010.00279.x*Thirtyyearsofspatialeconometricspirs_2793..261LucAnselin1GeoDaCenterforGeospatialAnalysisandComputation,SchoolofGeographicalSciencesandUrbanPlanningArizonaStateUniversity,Tempe,AZ84287-5302,USA(e-mail:luc.anselin@asu.edu)Received:1November2009/Accepted
2、:29November2009Abstract.Inthispaper,Igiveapersonalviewonthedevelopmentofthefieldofspatialeconometricsduringthepast30years.Iarguethatithasmovedfromthemarginstothemainstreamofappliedeconometricsandsocialsciencemethodology.Idistinguishthreebroadphasesinthedevelopment,whichIrefertoaspreconditi
3、ons,takeoffandmaturity.ForeachofthesephasesIdescribethemainmethodologicalfocusandlistmajorcontributions.Iconcludewithsomespeculationsaboutfuturedirections.JELclassification:R15,C31,B23Keywords:Spatialeconometrics,spatialanalysis,regionalmodelling1IntroductionIthasbeensome30yearssincePaelin
4、ckandKlaassen(1979)publishedasmallvolumeentitledSpatialeconometrics,whicharguablywasthefirstcomprehensiveattemptatoutliningthefieldofspatialeconometricsanditsdistinctmethodology.So,somewhatarbitrarily,Iamtaking1979asthehistoricalstartingpointforspatialeconometrics.Thisisnotsolelymotivatedby
5、thepublicationofthePaelinck-Klaassenbook,butalsobyanumberofotherimportantvolumesandarticlesthatappearedinthatyear.Forexample,tworelatedbooksthatputtheimportanceofspatialandspace-timedataanalysisfrontandcentreweretheeditedvolumebyBartelsandKetellapper(1979)onExploratoryandexplanatoryanalys
6、isofspatialdataandthebookbyBennett(1979)onSpatialtimeseries.Inaddition,therewasanimportantpaperbyHordijk*Earlierversionsoftheideasincorporatedinthispaperwerepresentedatanumberofconferencesandcolloquiaspanningaperiodofoverfiveyears.ThisincludestheInauguralArthurGetisLectureinSpatialAnalysis
7、,SanDiegoStateUniversity(2005),theSpatialAnalysisandModelingPlenaryLectureattheAnnualMeetingoftheAssociationofAmericanGeographers(2007),aFellowsColloquiumatResearchTriangleInstitute(RTI)International,ResearchTrianglePark(2007),aPlenaryAddresstotheThirdWorldCongresso
