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1、Futures,Vol.29,No.415,pp.435465,1997Pergamon01997ElsevierScienceLtdAllrightsreserved.PrintedinGreatBritain0016-3287/97$17.00+0.00PII:SO016-3287(97)00021-9CHINASINFRASTRUCTUREANDECONOMICDEVELOPMENTINTHE21STCENTURYPeterJ.RimmerGeographyand100yearsofhistoryholdthekeytotheintegr
2、ationofChinasinfrastructureandeconomicdevelopmentinthe21stcentury.Chinashistoryofthelast25yearsofthe20thcenturyhasbeenanticipatedbyitsfirst25years.WhiletheinterregnumisveryimportantitdoesnotcontainthewholestoryofChinasdevelopment.ThisviewraisesissuesaboutDrSunsvisionofthelin
3、k-agesbetweeninfrastructureandeconomicdevelopmentduringthefirst25yearsofthe20thcentury.ItraisesfurtherissuesaboutDengXiaopingssenseofdirec-tionduringthelast25yearsofthe20thcentury,whichfocusesfirstonachievinggoalsbytheendofthe198Os,thenthe50thanniversaryoftheRevolutionin2000
4、,andfinallyonChinain2050.01997ElsevierScienceLtdInanutshellitismyideatomakecapitalismcreatesocialisminChina,sothatthetwoeconomicforcesofhumanevolutionwillworksidebysideinfuturecivilization.Itdoesntmatterwhetherthecatisyelloworblackaslongasitcatchesmice.>BacktothefutureAnyatt
5、empttointegrateChinastransportandcommunicationsinfrastructureandecon-omicdevelopmentintheyear2050hastobeconsciousofitsgeographyandatleastPeterJ.RimmerProfessor,DepartmentofHumanGeography,ResearchSchoolofPacificandAsianStudies,TheAustralianNationalUniversity,Canberra,ACT0200,
6、Australia(Tel:+6162492235:fax+6162494896;email:peter.rimmer@coombs.anu.edu.au).435100yearsofhistory.China’sgeographicalenvironmentischaracterisedbylongdistances,mountains,hillsandplateaux,whichaccountfortwo-thirdsofthelandarea,morethan1500riverswithcatchmentsinexcessof1000sq
7、uarekmandatotallengthof226,800kmand20,000kmofcoastline.’China’shistoryduringthelast25yearsofthe20thcenturyhasbeenanticipatedbyitsfirst25years.Alltooofteninfrastructuralachievementsduringthefirst25yearshavebeenignoredbythesubsequentfixationonwarlordism.’Anunderlyingcontinuity
8、inthepatternofinfrastructureandeconomicdevelopmenthasbeenobscuredbythepreoc
