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1、Large-ScaleSolarPVInvestmentPlanningStudiesbyWajidMuneerAthesispresentedtotheUniversityofWaterlooinfulfillmentofthethesisrequirementforthedegreeofMasterofAppliedScienceinElectrical&ComputerEngineeringWaterloo,Ontario,Canada,2011©WajidMuneer2011Author’sDeclarationIhereb
2、ydeclarethatIamthesoleauthorofthisthesis.Thisisatruecopyofthethesis,includinganyrequiredfinalrevisions,asacceptedbymyexaminers.Iunderstandthatmythesismaybemadeelectronicallyavailabletothepublic.iiAbstractInthepursuitofacleanerandsustainableenvironment,solarphotovoltaic
3、(PV)powerhasbeenestablishedasthefastestgrowingalternativeenergysourceintheworld.Thisextremelyfastgrowthisbroughtabout,mainly,bygovernmentpoliciesandsupportmechanismsworld-wide.SolarPVtechnologythatwasoncelimitedtospecializedapplicationsandconsideredveryexpensive,withlo
4、wefficiency,isbecomingmoreefficientandaffordable.SolarPVpromisestobeamajorcontributorofthefutureglobalenergymixduetoitsminimalrunningcosts,zeroemissionsandsteadilydecliningmoduleandinvertercosts.Withtheexpandingpracticeofmanagingdecentralizedpowersystemsaroundtheworld,
5、theroleofprivateinvestorsisincreasing.Thus,theperspectiveofallstakeholdersinthepowersystem,includingprivateinvestors,hastobeconsideredintheoptimalplanningofthegrid.Anabundanceofliteratureisavailabletoaddressthecentralplanningauthority’sperspective;however,optimalplanni
6、ngfromaninvestor’sperspectiveisnotwidelyavailable.Therefore,thisthesisfocusesonprivateinvestors’perspective.Anoptimizationmodelandtechniquestofacilitateaprospectiveinvestortoarriveatanoptimalinvestmentplaninlarge-scalesolarPVgenerationprojectsareproposedanddiscussedint
7、histhesis.Theoptimalsetofdecisionsincludesthelocation,sizingandtimeofinvestmentthatyieldsthehighestprofit.ThemathematicalmodelconsidersvariousrelevantissuesassociatedwithPVprojectssuchaslocation-specificsolarradiationlevels,detailedinvestmentcostsrepresentation,andanap
8、proximaterepresentationofthetransmissionsystem.Adetailedcasestudyconsideringtheinvestmentinlarge-scalesolarPVprojects