资源描述：
《Cyberspace 2025 Today’s Decisions, Tomorrow’s Terrain英文学习资料》由会员上传分享，免费在线阅读，更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、CyberspaCeAuthorsDavidBurtToday’sdeCisions,AaronKleinerJ.PaulNicholasTomorrow’sTerrainKevinSullivan2025NAvigAtiNgtheFutureoFCyberseCurityPoliCyJune2014CoNteNtsContentsForeword1understandingCyberspacein20252Quantifyingtheworldin20254theCyber2025Model6Methodology6Futurescenarios:Platea
2、u,Peak,andCanyon8Threefuturetectonicshifts9PlAteAuPlAteAu:stablebutstalled15GovernmentsbothembraceandrestrictICTdevelopment17Business,economic,andICTdevelopmentgrowthisuneven18DifferingapproachestoICTleadtocontrastingsocialconditions18CybersecuritycharacteristicsofthePlateauscenario1
3、9PeAkPeak:ConnectedandCooperative21GovernmentssupportICTdevelopment23AcceleratedICTdevelopmentpromotesbusinessandeconomicgrowth25ICThelpsmitigatedemographicchallenges26CybersecuritycharacteristicsofthePeakscenario28CANyoNCANyoN:Deepeningisolation30GovernmentsundermineICTdevelopment32
4、BusinessandeconomicfactorsrestrictICTdevelopment35SocialconditionslimitthepotentialofICT36CybersecuritycharacteristicsoftheCanyonscenario37Conclusionandrecommendations39Conclusion39Recommendations40Summaryofscenarioforecasts42Appendix:econometricMethodology43endnotes45ForeworD“Realge
5、nerositytowardthefutureliesingivingalltothepresent.”–AlbertCamusForewordTheworldwillexperienceextraordinarychangesinthenextdecade,withgrowththecommonelementinthesechanges.Incyberspace,growthmeansmorepeople,moredevices,moreconnectivity,andmoredata.Butthereissignificantlymoretothestory
6、thanjustbiggernumbers.Thegrowthincyberspaceisnotjustanaturalexpansionofcurrentpatterns.Itisdrivenandshapedbyanumberofexternalfactors,manyofwhichcanbeamplifiedorinfluencedbypublicpolicychoices.Thisreport,Cyberspace2025:Today’sDecisions,Tomorrow’sTerrain,attemptstolookoverthehorizonand
7、seebeyondtechnologicaltrendstoanticipatefuturecatalystsforchange.Cloudcomputing,theInternetofThings,bigdata,andcybersecurityloomlargeontoday’s—andtomorrow’s—agenda.Butwhatarethetransformativeelementsthatwilldefinethefutureterrainofcyberspace?Howwillpublicpoliciesimpactpotentialgrowth
8、?Whatarethet
