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1、SECTION1:LISTENINGTEST(30minutes) PartA:SpotDictationDirections:Inthispartofthetest,youwillhearapassageandreadthesamepassagewithblanksinit.Fillineachoftheblankwiththewordorwordsyouhaveheardonthetape.WriteyouranswerinthecorrespondingspaceinyourANSWERBOOKLET.Rememberyouwillhear
2、thepassageONLYONCE. RenownedUSeconomistJohnRutledgewhohelpedframethefiscalpoliciesoftwoformalUSpresidentswarnedthatanabruptriseinChina’scurrencycouldleadtoanotherAsianfinancialcrisis.ThefounderofRutledgeCapitaltoldthemediathatiftheYuanrisestoofastandtoohigh,itwoulddiscouragef
3、oreigndirectinvestmentinChina,whileencouragingcurrencymanipulationbymarketsspeculators.Currencychangeismoredifficultforinvestors,andmoreexcitingforspeculators.TheChinesecurrencyhasappreciatedbymorethan5%sinceJuly2005,whenthecountryallowtheYuantofloatagainsttheUSdollar,withada
4、ilybandof0.3%.Theanalystsareexpectingthecurrencytoriseanother4%bytheendofthisyear.ButiftheYuanrose20%to30%,assomeUSpoliticiansaredemanding,itwouldjeopardizetheChineseeconomy,causingarecessionanddeflation.SimilaradvisetoallowanabruptappreciationofacurrencyledtotheAsianfinancia
5、lcrisesin1997,andcameveryclosetodestroyingtheJapaneseeconomy.TheUSeconomistsaysthatinvestorswantforemosttoavoidrisksassociatedwithlargefluctuationsincurrencyandinflation.Theycalculatereturnsontheirinvestmentafterevaluatingriskstobenefitssuchaslowerlabourcost.ArisingYuanwouldd
6、riveuplabourcostsforforminginvestorsandwouldnotresultinhigherwagesforworkers.Earlierreportssaidthecurrencyspeculatorshadpumped200billionUSdollarsintoChina,bytheendoflastyear,withanother17billionUSdollarsflowingintotheeconomyinthefirst3monthsofthisyear.Thereisnowaytoaccurately
7、tracktheflowofthistypesofinvestment,andmanyeconomistsdisagreethattheamountofspeculativecashissohigh,insteadoffurtherappreciatingitscurrency.ChinashouldmaketheYuanconvertibletotheUSdollar.IftheYuanweremoreeasilyconvertedintoforeigncurrencies,itwouldallowChinesecompaniestoexpan
8、doverseas,facilitatethepurchaseofforeigntechnologyandprovidemanageme