电力市场安全与经济风险管理的理论与应用研究

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1、华北电力大学（北京）博士学位论文电力市场安全与经济风险管理的理论与应用研究姓名：刘宝华申请学位级别：博士专业：技术经济及管理指导教师：曾鸣20080301华北电力大学博士学位论文摘要AbstractOurcountryhasalreadyrealizedtheseparationbetweenthegeneratorandthegrid，andisgraduallyintroducingthecompetitivesystemtoestablishahealthypowermarket．Astothesituationofourcountry，itisanurg

2、entproblemtoselectaproperpowermarketmechanismandtheoperationpattern，andtoadoptasuitablesupervisingandmanagingpatternandthecorrespondingpolicylawsandregulations，inordertoeffectivelyenhancetheefficiencyofpowerindustry，tooptimizethedispositionofpowerresources，andtoeffectivelyguardandcon

3、trolthesecurityriskandtheeconomicalriskduringthenetworkoperation．Thepaperanalyzesthecharacteristicsofthepowerindustryandthe．operationmechanismofthepowermarket．Accordingtothemarketsupplyanddemandtheoryinmicro‘economicsandtheanalysisoftheeffectivenessandlong—termbalanceofthepowermarket

4、，thepaperanalysestheeconomicrisksofthepowermarket，anddiscussestheconnectionbetweenthemarketfailuresandpricecontr01．Acorrdingtotheanalysisofthesecurityandreliabilityfactorsofthepowersystem，thepaperdiscussestheconnectionbetweenthereliabilityofthepowersystemandthereservecapacity，andesta

5、blishesthecorrespondingmodelofreliability，andthentakesouttheempiricalanalyses，whicharetheacademicbasisofhowtOpreventeconomicrisksofthemarket．Severalkindsofcoordinationmechanismbetweenthesecurityriskandtheeconomicalriskunderthepowermarketconditionareintroduced：thesupervisingmechanismo

6、fthemarket，thepowerfuturesmarket，thecapacitymarket，thedemand—sidemanagementandtherestrictivemechanismoftheelectricityprice．Takedthebuildofourcountry’Spowermarketintoconsideration，thecharacteristicsoftheabovemechanismsarediscussed，andtheframeworkofhowtocoordinateSCCHFeandeconomicrisks

7、，whichisbasedonthespotmarket，isgiven．AnditcontributestothebuildoftheriskmechanismofthepowermarketinChina．’Inaccordancewiththeproblemofpricing，twomethodstorealizetheoptimalreliabilityarediscussed：Value-of-Lost—LoadPricing，andOpRespricing．Afterthemoudelbuildedandtheempiricalanalyses，th

8、epaperpoints