安徽省旱涝灾害评估智能决策支持系统的研究与实现

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1、喾短吠学硕士学位论文学校代码：10357学号：安徽省旱涝灾害评估智能决策支持系统的研究与实现ResearchandRealizationonIDSSofDroughtandFloodEvaluationinAnHuiProvince姓名学科专业研究方向指导教师完成时间杨太明计算机技术智能软件开发技术李龙澍教授2006年10月安徽省旱涝灾害评估智能决镱支持系统的研究与实现ABSTRACTMeteorologicaldisastersevaluationinourcountryextensivelyadoptstraditiona

2、lDecisionSupportSystems(DSS)．IDSSofdroughtandfloodevaluationwasdesignedbycombiningExpertSystemandArtificialIntelligentTechnology,introducingIntelligentDecisionSupportSystems(IDSS)，whichwasbasedonclimatechange’SvarietyandfrequentdisastersofAnhuiprovince．IntelligenceD

3、ecisionSupportSystem(IDSS)isbuiltbyintegratingArtificialIntelligence，ExpextSystemandDecisionSupportSystem．IDSSCaneffectivelysolvetheproblemofhowqualitativeanalysisiscombinedwithquantitativeanalysisandthosestructuredandnon—structuredproblems，extenditsscopewhichitCand

4、ealwith,andimprovethedecisionability．IDSSofdroughtandfloodevaluationWasputforwardbecauseofthefrequentmeteorologicaldisastersoccurredinAnlmiprovince，whichhascausedbillionsoflosingeveryyear．IDSShasgreatpracticalsignificanceforitsestimatingagro-meteorologicaldisastersa

5、ccuratelyintime．Inthispaper,firstly,theclimatefeatureanddrought-flooddisasterdistributionrulesofAnhuiprovincewereintroduced．Thenthesystemstructureandfunction,theresearchconditionsanddevelopmenttrendofIDSSwhichbasedonAgentmodelwerediscussed．Accordingtoknowledgeacquis

6、itionbyapplicationofIDSSandcombingwitlltheapplicationofExpertSystem．themodeldatabaseandmodeldatabasesystem，knowledgedatabaseandreasoningmechanismtheorywereintroduced．Basingonthetheorymentionedabove，accordingtothemainmeteorologicaldisastersinAnhuiprovince_——-droughta

7、ndflood，thispaperpresentsthedesignmethodfordrought-flooddisasterevaluationIDSS，includingthedesignandestablishmentofdrought-flooddisasterdatabaseandknowledgedatabase，thereasoningmechanismofdrought-flooddisasterknowledgedatabase．ThedisasterdefensecountermeasuresystemW

8、asbuilt．Atlast，IDSSofDroughtandFloodEvaluationinAnhuiprovinceWasdesigned．Includinggeneraldesignofsystem，therealizationofmodelbasesystemand