解读中国的房地产市场

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1、China’sboominghousingmarketPuttingitintherightperspective溯本追源——解读中国的房地产市场april2010二零一零年四月APRIL2010China’sboomingEnglishhousingmarketPuttingitintherightperspectiveSincetheonsetoftheglobalfinancialcrisisin2008,Chinahasbeenplayinganincreasingly中文importantroleintheworldeconomy.W

2、hileallmajordevelopedeconomiesweremiredindeeprecession,ChinaachievedstrongGDPgrowthof8.7%andbecameamajorgrowthenginefortheglobaleconomy.ButhowlargeisChina’seconomyandhowimportantisitsroleintheglobalarena?Grossdomesticproduct(GDP)iswidelyusedtomeasureacountry’seconomicmusclea

3、ndintermsofGDP,Chinawastheworld’sthirdlargesteconomylastyearaftertheUSandJapan.China’snominalGDPwasabout33%thatoftheUS,butintermsofpurchasingpowerparity(PPP),itsGDPwasabout66%thatoftheUSandrankedsecondamongalleconomiesin2009.However,suchstatisticsarenotanaccuratereflectionof

4、China’sroleintheglobaleconomy,asWebelievetotalbankdepositstherearelimitationswhenusingGDPforinter-countrycomparison.WhencalculatingGDP,twoareamorestraightforwardcountriesmayhaveverydifferent‘baskets’ofgoodsandservices,dependingontheirstatisticalandintuitiveindicatorofasystem

5、s,anddevelopingcountrieswithineffectivetaxationsystemshavedifficultymeasuringtheoutputsofcertainemergingindustries.ThereliabilityofPPPcomparisonisalsoopentocriticism,country’seconomicprowess.asitrequiresdetailedpricesurveysoflargeamountsofitemsinallcountriesinvolved,whichare

6、Bankdepositscanbereadilydifficulttomanage.translatedintopurchasingWebelievetotalbankdepositsareamorestraightforwardandintuitiveindicatorofacountry’spowerandmakeforhighlyeconomicprowess.Bankdepositscanbereadilytranslatedintopurchasingpowerandmakeforhighlytransparentstatistics

7、.Insteadofbeingcompiledbystatisticalagenciesthroughsampling,transparentstatistics.bankdepositfiguresarecloselymonitoredbycommercialbanksandregularlysubmittedtoregulatorsforindependentauditing.Generallyspeaking,totalbankdeposits—thesizeofwhichisproportionaltotradesurplus,netc

8、apitalinflowsandbankcredit—provideagoodgaugeofacountry’seconomicstrength.Ac