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ID:36382515
大小:6.30 MB
页数:99页
时间:2019-05-10
《资本市场多标度行为特征及风险分析》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、湖南大学博士学位论文资本市场多标度行为特征及风险分析姓名:杨宏林申请学位级别:博士专业:管理科学与工程指导教师:陈收20071008博}:学位论文求解出资产多标度条件下累积的表达式,构建出基于累积的多标度风险分散化模型,对多标度条件下的风险管理进行研究。本文的研究成果对资本市场基于时间标度的研究发展作了一定贡献,同时一定程度上拓展了传统风险管理的研究范畴,为时间维度下的风险度量和控制的研究提供了重要的思路和方法,并为投融资决策和风险管理理论、方法和应用的进一步发展打下了一定的基础。关键词:多标度;幂
2、律分布;广义自相似;层次结构;波动级串;风险分析资本市场多标度行为特征及风险分析AbstractStudyonrandomdistrlbutioncharacteristicsofreturnshasalwaysbeenoneofthemostchallengingproblemsinfinance.’Traditionalresearchesinthisfieldarecommonlymadeunderthecircumstanceofmonoscale.However,inrecentyears
3、,physicistshaVeintroducedmultiscaleofbeinganinlportantconceptineconophysicstonnancialeconomics,andhaVeachieVedfruitsofinterestingresultsquitedifI’erentfromwhatthepreViousstudieshaVemade.AlltheseValuableworkshaVeexploredthedeVelopmentofresearchesinthefi
4、eldsgreatly.ThispaperinVestigatestheinternalmicrostructureandcontrollingmechanismofcapitalmarketsthroughsystematicallystudyingthemultiscalebehaviorsofreturns.AndthenthemultiscaleVolatilitymodelisconstructedtofIurtherresearchtheriskmeasurementandcontrol
5、forassertsoverthedif琵renttimescale.ThispaperconsistsofseVenchaptersinVolVingthefIourmainsections.Firstly,thepaperinVestigatesthepower—lawpropertiesandcriticalityofreturnsespeciallyf.ortherespectivedistributionsofnegatiVeandpositiVetails,anddiscussesthe
6、irgenerality.Andthecorrelationpropertiesofdiff色rentVolatilityamplitudesofreturnsareanaIyzedbasedontheframeworkofmultifractaldetrendednuctuation.Secondly,thepaperanalyzesthecontrollingstrengthofthreespecialcorrelationsofmaintainingthemultiscalepower-law
7、distributionrespectiVely,andtheinfluenceofthechangedpower—lawdistributiononthecorrelations.Allhardworksaretofigureoutthecontrollingsourcesoftheexhibitedmultiscaledistributionofreturns.Meantime.thenormalizedrelatiVestructurefIunction,themeasureoff.ullyd
8、eVelopedturbulence,isutilizedtostudythegeneralsimilarityandhierarchysoastounderstandthespecialstructureandmechanismofcapitalmarkets.Thirdly,theoptimalVolatilitycascademodelisconstructedduetothedetailedanalysesofVolatilitytransf.erringdi
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