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1、AbstractagriculturallanduseefficiencymainlyconcentrateinthesouthandwestpartsofShandong,includingBinzhoucity,DezhouCity,LiaochengCity,HezeCity,JiningCity,ZaozhuangCityandLinyiCity.Fromthetrendpointofview,TFPindexofagriculturallandinShandongProvincegrowsrapidlyasawhole,fluctuatestrongly,andre
2、gionaldifferencesofwhicharenotsignificant.AnnualgrowthrateofTFPindexisupto3.4%from2000to2012andachievestwopeaksin2004and2010,whichcanbedividedintothreestagesonthewhole:rapidrising–andantedecline–slowrecovery.FromTFPindexgrowthstructureofagriculturalland,theTFPindexgrowthoftheagriculturallan
3、dduring13yearsbelongstothetypeoftechnology-induced,whichismainlyderivedfromtheimpactoftechnologicalprogressratherthantechnologyefficiency.ContributionoftechnologicalprogressinagriculturallanduseofShandongProvinceshowsanincreasingtrend.AverageannualgrowthrateofTFPindexof17citiesinShandongPro
4、vinceisalmosthigherthanone(exceptRizhaocity),andtechnologicalprogresswithtechnologicalinnovationbecomesthedecisivefactorinimprovingTFPindex.Judgingfromtheinfluencingfactors,socialfactorsaffectagriculturallanduseefficiencyinagreaterdegreethannaturalfactors.Throughanalyzingseveralfactorsaffec
5、tingagriculturallanduseefficiency,wefindthattheculturalqualitiesoflaborsandthepercapitaacreagehaveasignificantnegativeimpactontheefficiencyofagriculturallanduse,thevariablesofpolicyandpriceinfluenceitnegatively,whilethedisasterconditionaffectsitweakly.Theregressionresultspassthesignificantt
6、estandheteroskedasticitytest.Finally,itputsforwardsuggestionsbasedontheanalysis.Keywords:Landuseefficiency;DEA;TFPindex;Tobit-DEA;ShandongProvince.IV万方数据目录目录摘要....................................................................................................................................
7、..............IAbstract..........................................................................................................................................III第1章绪论.....................................................................................
