出口结构和增长【外文翻译】

出口结构和增长【外文翻译】

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时间:2017-07-26

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1、本科毕业论文外文翻译外文题目:ExportStructureandgrowth——ADetailedAnalysisforArgentina出处:WorldBankPolicyResearchworkingpaper4237,May2007作者:Guerson,Alejandro,Park,James,Torrado,MonicaParra原文:ExportStructureandGrowthADetailedAnalysisforArgentina*IntroductionandSummaryofConclusionsInrecentyears,theperformanceofArgen

2、tineexportshasbeenparticularlystrong.Argentinahasbenefitedfrompositivetermsoftradeshocksinsomesectorsbuthigherexportvolumeshavebeenthemostimportantsourceofexportgrowth.In2005,merchandiseexportsreachedaboutUS$40billion,whichismorethan50percentabovethepeakpriorto2002.Thistrendcontinuedin2006:asofSep

3、temberexportsofgoodshadgrownby12.3percent.Theimprovementinexportperformancewasaccompaniedbyadrasticchangeinrelativepricesfollowinguponthecurrencydevaluationin2002whichhassignificantlyimprovedthecompetitivenessofArgentineexportsoverall.Aggregateexportstatisticsshowthatthemomentumofexportperformance

4、hasbeensustainedbymanufacturedgoodswhichledexportsgrowthin2006.Lookingbeyondaggregatetrends,thispaperexamineschangesinthestructureofArgentineexports,andtheirpotentialimpactonfuturegrowth.Tothatend,weapplytheconceptualframeworkdevelopedinHausmannandRodrik(2003)andHausmann,HwangandRodrik(2006)(HHR).

5、Theydefinethe“productivityfrontier”ofacountryastheoptimalcompositeofexportsthatwouldmaximizeprospectivefuturegrowth.Countriesthatfallshortoftheproductivityfrontierhavetwobasicchannelsthroughwhichtheycangrow.First,countriescangrowbyproducingmoreofthesamegoodstheyhavealreadybeenproducing.Second,andm

6、oreinterestingly,countriescanimprovetheirgrowthprospectsbydevelopingnewproductsthatshiftthemclosertotheirproductivityfrontier.TheanalysisofHHRrevealsthat,ifnewproductshaveahighproductivity(i.e.theytendtobeproducedbycountrieswithhigherlevelsofincomepercapita)thentheGDPofthecountryproducingandexport

7、ingthenewproducteventuallyconvergestothatofthehighincomecountries.EconometricanalysispresentedinthispaperandinHHRshowthatproductivityofexportsisastatisticallysignificantexplanatoryvariableofGDPpercapitagrowth,aft

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