贸易开放度与经济增长：是出口导向型的增长还是进口导向型的增长【外文翻译】

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1、本科毕业论文外文翻译原文外文题目：Tradeopennessandeconomicgrowth:isgrowthexport-ledorimport-led?出处：AppliedEconomics(2008,40,161–173)作者：TitusO.Awokuse原文：Tradeopennessandeconomicgrowth:isgrowthexport-ledorimport-led?Mostpreviousinvestigationshaveonlyfocusedontheeffectofexportexpa

2、nsiononeconomicgrowthwhileignoringthepotentialgrowth-enhancingcontributionofimports.Thisarticlere-examinestherelationshipbetweentradeandeconomicgrowthinArgentina,Colombia,andPeruwithemphasisonboththeroleofexportsandimports.Grangercausalitytestsandimpulserespons

3、efunctionswereusedtoexaminewhethergrowthintradestimulateeconomicgrowth(orviceversa).Theresultssuggestthatthesingularfocusofpaststudiesonexportsastheengineofgrowthmaybemisleading.Althoughthereissomeempiricalevidencesupportingexport-ledgrowth,theempiricalsupportf

4、orimport-ledgrowthhypothesisisrelativelystronger.Insomecases,thereisalsoevidenceforreversecausalityfromgrossdomesticproductgrowthtoexportsandimports.I.IntroductionThepotentialbenefitofoutward-orientedtradepolicyforeconomicgrowthhasbeenthesubjectofmanyempiricali

5、nvestigations.Althoughseveralstudieshavedemonstratedthetheoreticaleconomicrelationshipbetweentradeandeconomicgrowth,disagreementsstillpersistsregardingthecausaldirectionandmagnitudeoftheeffects(Bhagwati,1978;Edwards,1998).Thevastmajorityofthisliteraturefocuseso

6、nthecausaleffectofexportoneconomicgrowth.Themainquestionintheexportled-growthdebateiswhetheranexport-drivenoutwardorientingtradepolicyispreferabletoaninwardorientingtradepolicyinstimulatingeconomicgrowth.Someresearchersarguethatcausalityflowsfromexportstoeconom

7、icgrowthanddenotesthisastheexport-ledgrowth(ELG)hypothesis.Thereversecausalflowfromeconomicgrowthtoexportsistermedgrowth-ledexports(GLE).Thethirdalternativeisthatofimport-ledgrowth(ILG)whichsuggeststhateconomicgrowthcouldbedrivenprimarilybygrowthinimports.Despi

8、tethepotentiallyimportantroleofimportsandimportcompetition,relativelylittleattentionhasbeendevotedtothecausalrelationshipbetweenimportsandeconomicgrowth.Moststudiesontheeffe