贸易开放度与经济增长：是出口导向型的增长还是进口导向型的增长【外文翻译】

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1、本科毕业论文外文翻译原文外文题目：Tradeopennessandeconomicgrowth:isgrowthexport-ledorimport-led?出处：AppliedEconomics(2008,40,161–173)作者：TitusO.Awokuse原文：Tradeopennessandeconomicgrowth:isgrowthexport-ledorimport-led?Mostpreviousinvestigationshaveonlyfocusedontheeffectofexport

2、expansiononeconomicgrowthwhileignoringthepotentialgrowth-enhancingcontributionofimports.Thisarticlere-examinestherelationshipbetweentradeandeconomicgrowthinArgentina,Colombia,andPeruwithemphasisonboththeroleofexportsandimports.Grangercausalitytestsandimpuls

3、eresponsefunctionswereusedtoexaminewhethergrowthintradestimulateeconomicgrowth(orviceversa).Theresultssuggestthatthesingularfocusofpaststudiesonexportsastheengineofgrowthmaybemisleading.Althoughthereissomeempiricalevidencesupportingexport-ledgrowth,theempir

4、icalsupportforimport-ledgrowthhypothesisisrelativelystronger.Insomecases,thereisalsoevidenceforreversecausalityfromgrossdomesticproductgrowthtoexportsandimports.I.IntroductionThepotentialbenefitofoutward-orientedtradepolicyforeconomicgrowthhasbeenthesubject

5、ofmanyempiricalinvestigations.Althoughseveralstudieshavedemonstratedthetheoreticaleconomicrelationshipbetweentradeandeconomicgrowth,disagreementsstillpersistsregardingthecausaldirectionandmagnitudeoftheeffects(Bhagwati,1978;Edwards,1998).Thevastmajorityofth

6、isliteraturefocusesonthecausaleffectofexportoneconomicgrowth.Themainquestionintheexportled-growthdebateiswhetheranexport-drivenoutwardorientingtradepolicyispreferabletoaninwardorientingtradepolicyinstimulatingeconomicgrowth.Someresearchersarguethatcausality

7、flowsfromexportstoeconomicgrowthanddenotesthisastheexport-ledgrowth(ELG)hypothesis.Thereversecausalflowfromeconomicgrowthtoexportsistermedgrowth-ledexports(GLE).Thethirdalternativeisthatofimport-ledgrowth(ILG)whichsuggeststhateconomicgrowthcouldbedrivenprim

8、arilybygrowthinimports.Despitethepotentiallyimportantroleofimportsandimportcompetition,relativelylittleattentionhasbeendevotedtothecausalrelationshipbetweenimportsandeconomicgrowth.Moststudiesontheeffe