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1、PARKJAE-SANGhasshownthewayforward•TheSouthKoreanrapper,knownasPSY,thisweektoppedthepopchartsinBritainandlaysecondinAmerica・Hisgloriouslyinanevideo,“GangnamStyle"(withsome350monlineviewingssofar),hasprovedthatAsia'seconomicpowerhousescanleadtheworldinexportingintangiblegoodiesaswellasthingsyoucandrop
2、onyourfoot.Facinganalarmingeconomicslowdown,muchofAsianeedstolearnthelesson:serviceindustriesarethefuture.朴载相向我们展示了发展的道路。韩国说唱歌手PSY,在本周登上英国流行音乐榜首，美国音乐榜第二。他华丽得无厘头的MV江南style（目前大约3.5亿观看量），证明了亚洲经济马力能够引领世界无形簡品和有形簡品的出口。血对着令人担忧的经济下滑，许多亚洲国家必须学习一个门课程：服务业才是未來。Thatisacrudesummaryofthelatest"Outlook"fortheregion
3、publishedthisweekbytheAsianDevelopmentBank(ADB).Foralmosttheentireregion,itisfargloomierthantheADB'spreviousforecastinApril—ifstillstartlinglyperkybyWesternbenchmarks・InAsiaasawhole,excludingJapan,economicgrowththisyearisexpectedtoslowto6.1%,from7.2%in2011・这是本周亚洲发展银行出版的关于该区域的最新“展望”的简略总结。比起亚洲发展银行之前在四
4、月的预测，该区域的大多国家都表现出更加暗淡的前景■■…如果比起西方国家衡量基准或许有活力得多。从全亚洲看，除去FI本，木年度的经济增长预测会从2011年的7.2%下降到今年的6.1%oMuchofthiscanbeblamedonthefeeblestateoftherich-worldeconomy.SinceApril,fearsthattheeurozoneisonthebrinkofacataclysmicmeltdownhaveeasedsomewhat.Yettheyarenotabouttogoawayaltogether,andoptimismovertheprospectsf
5、orthebiggestmarketformuchofAsia'sexportsisstillremote.Addinananaemicrecovery,atbest,inAmerica,andtheworrythatitseconomymighttumbleoffafiscalcliffinDecember,andtheoutlookforexternaldemandisbleak.InChinaexportstoEuropefellbyabout5%inthefirsteightmonthsofthisyear,comparedwithayearearlier.着大多要归咎于富裕经济体虚弱
6、的现状。从四月起，欧元区在灾难性崩溃边缘的担忧已经有所缓和。但是这些担忧并没有完全消散，大多数亚洲出口国的最大市场的乐观前景仍然渺茫。加上美国无力的经济复苏还有其经济可能在12月坠入财政悬崖的担忧，外部需求的前景显得暗淡无光。今年前八个月中国对欧洲出口同比下降了大约5%。Indeed,itisChinathataccountsformuchoftheregionalslowdown,withtheADB，sforecastforGDPgrowthin2012cutto7.7%,from8.5%justinApril.Year-on-yeargrowthinthethirdquarterisex
7、pectedtohavebeennotmuchmorethan7%,theseventhsuccessivequarterlyslowdown.InvestmentinbothChineseinfrastructureandmanufacturinghasgrownlessfrenetically.EconomicuncertaintyhasactedasadragonconsumptioruYe
