高速铁路发展与中国城市经济增长趋同

高速铁路发展与中国城市经济增长趋同

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时间:2019-02-18

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1、暨南大学硕士学位论文高速铁路发展与中国城市经济增长趋同speedofeconomicgrowthofcitiesalongrailwayinnortheastregion,butslowsdowntheβconvergencespeedofeconomicgrowthofcitiesalongrailwayineastandwestregions,andhaveuncertaineffectontheβconvergenceofthoseincentralregion.Fromtheperspectiveofcitygroup,therailw

2、aytransportationdevelopmenthaspositiveeffectontheβconvergenceofeconomicgrowthofthefourth-tier,fifth-and-sixth-tiercitiesalongrailway,buthasnegativeeffectontheβconvergenceofeconomicgrowthofthefirst-and-second-tiercitiesalongrailway,andhaveuncertaineffectontheβconvergenceofthe

3、third-tiercities.Lastly,fromtheperspectiveofdifferenttrafficconditions,therailwaytransportationdevelopmenthavepositiveeffectontheβconvergenceofeconomicgrowthofthecitiesalongbothspeed-upandnon-speed-uprailwaylines,andthiseffectisstrongeronthecitiesalongspeed-uprailwaylines.Ac

4、cordingtothe"Long-termRailwayNetworkPlan(Revisedin2008)",thepapertrytopredicttheimpactofhigh-speedrailwaydevelopmentontheconvergenceofeconomicgrowthofcitiesalongrailwayduring2011to2020,andthencomparethisimpacttotheimpactbroughtbytherailwaytransportationdevelopmentduring1997-

5、2011.Theresultshowsthatthehigh-speedrailwaydevelopmentslowsdowntheβconvergencespeedofeconomicgrowthofcitiesalongtherailwayinwholenationfor10.71%,andthisnegativeeffectismoreseverethantheimpactbroughtbytherailwaytransportationdevelopment,andthenegativeimpactofhigh-speedrailway

6、ontheβconvergenceisstrongerintheearlystageofhigh-speedrailwaydevelopmentthanthetimethehigh-speednetworkcompleted.Fromtheperspectiveofregion,thehigh-speedrailwaydevelopmenthasnegativeeffectontheβconvergencespeedofeconomicgrowthofcitiesalongtherailwayineastregion,andtheβconver

7、gencespeedfallsdownfor0.3%,butthisnegativeeffectisweakerthantheeffectbroughtbytherailwaytransportationdevelopment.Inaddition,thisnegativewillbeweakerbythetimethehigh-speedrailwaynetworkcompleted.Fromtheperspectiveofcitygroup,thehigh-speedrailwaydevelopmentslowsdowntheβconver

8、gencespeedofeconomicgrowthoffirst-and-second-tiercitiesalongtherailwayfor6.

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