基于耕地生产能力生态区法评价的粮食安全的的研究——以山东省为例

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1、෎Ѣ㗩ഄ⫳ѻ㛑࡯⫳ᗕऎ⊩䆘Ӌⱘ㊂亳ᅝܼⷨお̣ҹቅϰⳕЎ՟࣪Ϣ㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯ⱘࡼᗕ݇㘨DŽҹᇣ呺੠⥝㉇Ў෎ޚ԰⠽ˈᓎゟ䲚ৃ㗩ഄ⦄ᅲ⫳ѻ㛑࡯⌟ㅫǃ㗩ഄ⫳ѻ┰࡯Ԅㅫǃ㗩ഄ⫳ѻ㛑࡯ব࣪ߚᵤ೼ݙⱘऎඳ㗩ഄ⫳ѻ㛑࡯ߚᵤ῵ൟˈ೼ࡼᗕᥠᦵऎඳ㗩ഄ᭄䞣ব࣪ⱘৠᯊˈࡼᗕᥠᦵऎඳ㗩ഄ⫳ѻ㛑࡯ঞ๲ޣᚙމˈߚᵤ㗩ഄব࣪ᇍ㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯ⱘᕅડ⿟ᑺҹঞϡৠ㗩ഄব࣪ॳ಴ᇐ㟈ⱘ㗩ഄ㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯ⱘব࣪ˈᑊ㒧ড়ቅϰⳕ㒣⌢⼒ӮথሩᚙމঞҎষবࡼᚙމˈᇍऎඳ㊂亳ᅝܼ∈ᑇخߎᅶ㾖䆘ӋDŽৠᯊᦤߎቅϰⳕ㗩ഄᡸঞ⹂㊂亳ᅝܼ∈ᑇⱘᇍㄪঞᓎ䆂DŽᴀⷨおৃҹᘏ㒧ᕫߎҹϟЏ㽕㒧䆎˖1ǃ

2、2007ᑈቅϰⳕ㗩ഄᘏ䴶⿃773ϛ݀ؒˈࡴᴗㄝ㑻Ў6.75ˈ㗩ഄ䋼䞣䕗催ⱘऎඳЎ剕㽓࣫੠剕㽓फഄऎDŽЏ㽕ೳഄ߽⫼㉏ൟ㗩ഄǃᓎ䆒⫼ഄǃ∈߽䆒ᮑ⫼ഄ੠Ѹ䗮⫼ഄ᠔ऴⱒߚ↨ߚ߿Ў52.2%ǃ16.7%ǃ1.7%੠1.1%DŽ1996ᑈ㟇2007ᑈˈ㗩ഄ䴶⿃ޣᇥ26.43ϛ݀ؒˈޣᇥ↨՟Ў3%˗2001ᑈৢ㗩ഄ䴶⿃ޣᇥ䗳ᑺࡴᖿˈᓎ䆒⫼ഄᯢᰒ๲ࡴ˗㗩ഄ䴶⿃ⱘޣᇥ䞣Ϣᓎ䆒⫼ഄ๲ࡴ䞣П䯈ਜ⦄ᯢᰒⱘ㒓ᗻ݇㋏DŽ2ǃ㗩ഄ㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯ⱘব࣪ᰃ㗩ഄ᭄䞣੠䋼䞣㗺ড়ᬜᑨⱘ㓐ড়㸼⦄DŽቅϰⳕ䖥ᑈᴹ㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯ᣕ㓁ϟ䰡ˈ䰸㗩ഄ䴶⿃ޣᇥ໪ˈ㗩ഄ䋼䞣ϟ䰡гᰃ䞡㽕

3、ⱘॳ಴DŽᑨ䖯ϔℹࡴ໻㗩ഄᡸ࡯ᑺˈᅲᮑ᭄䞣ǃ䋼䞣ᑊ䞡ⱘ㗩ഄऴ㸹ᑇ㸵᥾ᮑˈߛᅲ〇ᅮ㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯DŽ3ǃቅϰⳕ㊂亳ᅝܼྟ㒜໘Ѣ䄺៦㒓ҹϞˈԚ䖥ᑈᴹᣕ㓁ϟ䰡ˈ㊂亳ᅝܼᑺ⬅ᳳ߱ⱘ109%ϟ䰡ࠄ100%ˈᏆ㒣䖒ࠄ䖍㓬∈ᑇˈ㊂亳ᅝܼᔶ࢓ϡᆍФ㾖DŽᳳݙҎষ⬅8430ϛҎϞछ㟇9346ϛҎˈ๲ᐙ10.86%DŽҎষⱘϡᮁ๲ࡴᰃ㊂亳ᅝܼⱘЏ㽕࿕㚕಴㋴ˈҎষᑈ๲ᐙᣕ೼50.932ϛҎ↣ᑈˈ≵᳝ᯢᰒᬒ㓧ⱘ䗍䈵DŽ4ǃ1996ᑈ㟇2007ᑈ৘ᕅડ಴㋴ऴ㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯ব࣪ᘏ䞣ᴗ䞡ᑇഛؐ㸼ᯢ˖㄀ϔԡⱘᕅડ಴㋴ᰃᓎ䆒ऴ⫼㗩ഄˈ↨՟Ў33%ˈ㄀Ѡǃϝԡⱘೳഄᭈ⧚

4、੠ೳഄᓔথߚ߿Ў25%੠22%DŽᓎ䆒ऴ⫼㗩ഄᰃ䗴៤㊂亳⫳ѻ㛑࡯ޣᇥⱘЏ㽕಴㋴ˈೳഄᭈ⧚੠ೳഄᓔথ㱑✊ϡ㛑ᅠܼᓹ㸹㗩ഄ᭄䞣ⱘޣᇥˈԚᇍѢ〇ᅮ㊂亳⫳ѻ䍋ࠄњ䞡㽕԰⫼DŽ5ǃቅϰⳕᑨҢϹᡸ㗩ഄˈࡴᔎᓎ䆒⫼ഄㅵ⧚DŽ㒣⌢থ䖒ഄऎⱘᬓㄪᑨᰃࡴᔎೳഄᭈ⧚੠ೳഄᓔথ˗㒣⌢⃴থ䖒ഄऎᑨ᥻ࠊҎষ䖛ᖿ๲䭓ˈϡᮁᦤ催㊂亳ऩѻ∈ᑇDŽ݇䬂䆡˖㗩ഄ˗⫳ѻ㛑࡯˗⫳ᗕऎ⊩˗㊂亳ᅝܼ2ቅϰϮ໻ᄺम຿ᄺԡ䆎᭛AbstractAstheimportantmaterialofnationaleconomicdevelopment,foodisthefoundati

5、onforanycountrytomaintainsocialstabilityandrealizeeconomicdevelopment.Thecultivatedland,whichisthemainlanduseform,combiningthelight,temperature,rainfall,terrainwithothernaturalresourcesfactors,formscropproductionfunctionmainlyinfood.Thecultivatedlandmeetsthehuman

6、reproductionmeanwhileprovideslocationandmaterialconditionsforthedevelopmentofhumancivilization.Sincethehumansocietyenteredthe21stcentury,societyandeconomydeveloprapidlyandneedmoreland.Atthesametime,withthepopulationdramaticallyincreasing,thegrainproductioncapacit

7、yoflandcannotsatisfytheneedsofsocietyinsomeareasandcertaindates,whichthreatensfoodsecuritytoacertaindegree.TheFAOfoodsecuritycommissionhasmadeanewexpressiononfoodsecurityin1996,“onlywhenallpeoplegainednutritious,security,andenoughfoodinphysicalandeconomictomeetit

8、spositivehealthydietaryneedsandfoodpreferencesatanytime,canwerealizethefoodsecurity”.Therefore,foodsecurityinvolvesgrainproduction,graincirculationandgraincons