不确定需求下供应中断问题分析

不确定需求下供应中断问题分析

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时间:2019-01-29

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1、万方数据DealingwithSupplyDisruptionunderDemandUncertaintyAbstractInrecentyears,alltypesofemergencieshaveoccurredfrequently,whichhav℃causedseVeresupplydisruptionsfromtimetotimeandhavebroughtenormouseconomicandsociallossestotheinvolvedenterprisesandsupplychainnetworks.Theunexpectedeventswhichleadtosup

2、plydisruptionincidentsareaclassofsudden,randomanduncontrollableevents.TheYseldomhappen,however,theywillcausehugeandfataldamagesoncetheyhapp锄.Atthesametlme’customers’demandhasbecomemoreandmorepersonalizedanddiverSifiedalong、Ⅵnltheincreasingglobalizationofmarketsandfiercecompetition.nese仃endswillu

3、ndoubtedlyleadtodemanduncertaintyandposemorechallengingrequirementsonsupplvchainmanagement·Therefore,thereisanurgentneedforexpertsandschol缸stoconductfurtherstudiesonthedevelopmentofemergencyresponsestrategiestomaketheinvolvedsupplychainsfromsupplydisruptionsreturntonormaloperationsquicklyinorder

4、tomeetcustomerdemandandtomaintaincompetitivemarketadvantages.Intheabovecontexts,thetheoreticconstructionofsupplydisruptionsmodelsframeworkofsupplychaindisruptionsandtheunderuncertaindemandareverynecessary.Thispaperconductsresearchesmainlyfromtwoaspects:itproposessupplychaindisruptionsmeoreticalf

5、rameworkincludinganalysisofthesupplychainthinkingandcopingstrate西es打omthemacroandoverallperspective;itstudiesaspecificsupplydisruptionproblelllwithnodefailureandrecovery,whichincludesemergencystrategicSandmodelingmethod0109iesfromtheperspectiveofmathematicalmodelingandoptimization.Thesignificanc

6、esofthisresearchCanbesummarizedintotwoparts:oneistodevelopthetheoryofsupplychaindisruptions;theotheristoprovidetheoreticguidancetosupplvchain1ndustrialpractices.Generallythispaperfollowsthe“st印bystep”progressiveresearchidea.Tobespecificitcompletesthefollowingfourmajorresearchaspects:(1)Fromthema

7、croandholisticperspective,itproposesatheoreticanalysis6隐meworkofsupplychaindisruptions,anditalsogivesthecopingstrategiesbasedonpre.def.ensives缸ategYandpost。emergencyresponsestrategy.Thispartwilllayasolidfoulldationformefollo

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