基于模糊理论的商业地产投资风险评价分析

基于模糊理论的商业地产投资风险评价分析

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时间:2018-12-09

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1、-ABSTRACTInrecentyears,withthetransformationofChina'seconomicstructure,thepropulsionofurbanization,thecontinuousgrowthofresidents'disposableincome,theoptimizationofconsumptionstructure,theintroductionofseveralresidentialrealestatemacro-controlpolicies,aswellassomeothereffect

2、s,commercialrealestateasanimportantpartofrealestatehasbecomeafieldwhichmanyrealestatedevelopmententerprisesarecompetingtotransforminto.Since2010,manymajorrealestatedevelopmententerpriseshavepublishedtheirstrategiesforcommercialrealestatedevelopment.Andalargeamountoffundshave

3、beenpouredintothecommercialrealestatemarket.Commercialrealestatehasbecomeanewinvestmenthotspotinthedomesticrealestatemarket.Commercialrealestateinvestmentisahighlyintegratedandhighlycorrelatedeconomicprocess,withlargeamountoffinancialinputandlongdevelopingcycle.Thewholeinves

4、tingprocessisahighyeld,yethighriskactivity.Therefore,developingasystematicmethodtoanalyzeandevaluatetheinvestmentriskisextremelynecessaryandhassignificanttheoreticalandpracticalimpact,especiallywhenthecorrespondingtheoryandpolicyarenotyetmatureasitisincurrentsituationofChina

5、.Onthebasisofpreviousestablisheddomesticandforeignrealestateinvestmentrisktheories,thisstudyclarifiedtheconceptsofthecommercialrealestateandcommercialrealestateinvestments,andII------characterizedtheriskfactorsofthecommercialrealestateinvestmentinChinafromthedeveloperperspec

6、tive.Asetofriskevaluationindexeswasfirstselectedthroughexpertinvestigationapproach,andthecorrespondingevaluationsystemwasconstructed,takingintoaccounttherelativeimportanceofeachindex.Specifically,regardingthemultilevelcomplexityoftheevaluationsystemandthedifficultyofquantify

7、ingtheevaluationindexes,afteracomprehensiveexaminationoftherelativeadvantagesanddisadvantagesofvariousevaluationmethods,weconstructedamultilevelfuzzycomprehensiveevaluationmodelbasedonFuzzyTheorywhichcombinesboththeanalytichierarchyprocessandfuzzycomprehensiveevaluationmetho

8、d.Finally,takingFuzhouSuningsquareprojectasacasestudy,weprovedthefeasibilit

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