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时间:2018-11-18
《gmat考试写作指导argument范文四八-英语考试-gmat考试》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在工程资料-天天文库。
1、GMAT考试写作指导:Argument范文四八更多英语考试-GMAT考试-请点击这里获得22. Theconclusioninthisargumentisthatincreasedvigilancebydrugenforcementauthoritieshasresultedinanincreaseintheillegaluseofcocaine.Theauthorreachesthisconclusiononthegroundsthatdrugtraffickershaverespondedtoincreasedenforcementeffort
2、sbyswitchingfrombulkierandriskierdrugstococaine.Presumably,theauthor'sreasoningisthattheincreasedenforcementeffortsinadvertentlybroughtaboutanincreaseinthesupplyofcocainewhich,inturn,broughtabouttheobservedincreaseintheillegaluseofcocaine.Thislineofreasoningisproblematicintwoimporta
3、ntrespects. Inthefirstplace,theauthorhasengagedin"afterthis,thereforebecauseofthis"reasoning.Theonlyreasonofferedforbelievingthattheincreasedvigilancecausedtheincreaseincocaineuseisthefactthattheformerprecededthelatter.Noadditionalevidencelinkingthetwoeventsisofferedintheargumen
4、t,thusleavingopenthepossibilitythatthetwoeventsarenotcausallyrelatedbutmerelycorrelated.Thisinturnleavesopenthepossibilitythatfactorsotherthantheonecitedareresponsiblefortheincreaseincocaineuse. Inthesecondplace,theauthorassumesthatanincreaseinthesupplyofcocaineissufficienttobri
5、ngaboutanincreaseinitsuse.Whilethisisatemptingassumption,itisaproblematicone.Thepresumptionrequiredtosubstantiatethisviewisthatdrugusersarenotparticularaboutwhichdrugstheyuse,sothatifmarijuanaandheroinarenotavailable,theywillswitchtowhateverdrugisavailable—cocaineinthiscase.Theassum
6、ptiondoesnotseemreasonableonitsface.Marijuana,heroin,andcocainearenotalikeintheireffectsonusers;noraretheyalikeinthemannerinwhichtheyareingestedorintheiraddictiveproperties.Theviewthatdrugusers'choiceofdrugsissimplyafunctionofsupplyoverlookstheseimportantdifferences. Inconclusio
7、n,theauthorhasfailedtoestablishacausallinkbetweenincreasedenforcementeffortsandtheobservedincreaseinillegalcocaineuse.Whiletheenforcementactivitiesmayhavebeenacontributingfactor,toshowaclearcausalconnectiontheauthormustexamineandruleoutvariousotherfactors.本文章由谷友网http://www.xntyw.com
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