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时间:2018-10-28
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1、Chapter2TheoreticalFrameworkofEconomicDevelopment·Summary·Harrod-DomarModel·Solow-SwanGrowthModel·EconomicGrowthFactorsAnalysis·RostowEconomicGrowthPhasesTheory·ASocialDevelopmentModel(社会发展模型)·InducedInnovationTheory(诱致性创新理论)·一、Harrod-Domargrowthmodel1.Thebasicthoughts·Theformatio
2、nofcapitalistheonlyreasonforeconomyextendedandsteadygrowth.·2.Thebasichypothesis(1)Overallsocietyonlyproductsakindofoutputwhichcanbeconsumedaswellasproductotheroutput.(2)Thereareonlytwoproductelements:capitalandlabor.Theratioisinvariable.kmeanstheratioofcapitaltooutput,k=K/Y=ΔK/ΔY
3、,decidedbyexteriorfactor.*Laborgrowswithainvariableexogenousraten.Capitalwithoutdepreciation,andincreasingbytheamountofnewinvestment.(3)GNPisdistributedbetweenworkersinwageandcapitalistsinprofitaccordingtothemarginalutility,andconstantreturnstoscale.(4)Theprofitincapitalist’hands,
4、partlyforconsumption,thesurplusfordepositwhichwillautomaticallychangeintoinvestment.(5)Therehaveasimpleratiofunctionbetweensaving(S)andincome(Y)S=s×Y,sstandsforsavingrate,decidedbyexteriorfactor.·根据凯恩斯的收入决定论,投资等于储蓄,I=S·于是,I=S=ΔK·两边同除以ΔY,得·ΔK/ΔY=k=S/ΔY=s×Y/ΔY·于是可以得G=ΔY/Y=s/k·这就是哈罗德
5、—多马模型的基本方程式。由于k是由外在因素决定的,因此储蓄和资本的不断形成是经济保持持续增长的决定因素3.Content·Certaincountry’seconomicgrowthisdeterminedbydeposittendencyandtheratioofcapitaltooutput.Thatis:·Inthisformula:pg---economicgrowthrate,whichistheratioofnationalincomeincrement;ps---theratioofdeposittonationalincome,i.ethe
6、averagesavingrate;pk---theratioofcapitaltooutput,i.einvestmentmodulusoracceleration.4.TheapplicationofHarrod-Domargrowthmodel·Thismodeldemonstrateshowtokeepthecountry’seconomicsteadyandbalancedgrowth.·Ifps=12%,pk=3(3unitcapitalmake1unitoutput),thenpg=12%/3=4%.·5.Themeaningandlimit
7、ationofHarrod-Domargrowthmodel(1)Themeaning(P44)(2)Thelimitation(P45-46)·二、Solow-Swangrowthmodel1.Hypothesis(1)Sincecapitalandlaborareinter-replaceable,thecapital-laborratioischangeable.(2)Twoelements(capitalandlabor)arethemainmotivationofoutputgrowth,andthecapitallabor’smarginalp
8、roductivityisdiminishing.(3)Thema
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