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时间:2018-10-28
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1、英语硕士论文LiteratureReview范文----文献综述论文-->正如上面提到的,短期事件研究可以在实证检验的有效市场假说被应用。在另一方面,使用长地平线(1-5年收购后的)数据事件的研究可以应用到评估并购对企业的长期股市表现一个事件的影响。这密切关系到著名的“合并后的绩差谜”在阿格拉瓦尔及谢斐(2000)提出的。在这篇文章中,他们记录了各种的研究人员对在股市收购公司的长远表现不佳的结论。不过,本节着重在研究长远的性能使用不同的经验方法。LiteratureRevieentionedabove,short-runeventstudycanbeappliedin
2、theempiricaltestforEMH.Ontheotherhand,eventstudiesusinglonghorizon(1-5yearspostacquisition)datacanbeappliedtoevaluatetheeffectofMAeventonlong-termstockmarketperformanceoffirms.Thiscloselyrelatestothefamous“post-mergerunderperformancepuzzle”proposedinAgrap;Jaffe(2000).Inthatarticle,theyd
3、ocumentedtheconclusionsmadebyvariousresearchersonthelong-rununderperformanceofacquiringfirmsinthestockmarket.Hopiricalmethodsusedbyvariousauthorsinexaminingthelong-runperformance.Thefirstdifficultyencounteredinlong-runeventstudiesisthecalculationofexpectedreturns.Differentchoicesofbench
4、markmodelscouldleadtoexactlyoppositeconclusions,sincesmallmeasurementerrorsaccumulateinthelong-run(KotharianditchellandStafford(2000)alsoshoeshigherthantheappropriatet-statistics.Fama(1998)advocatestheuseofcalendartimeportfolioincorrectingforcross-sectionalcorrelationproblem.Ontheotherh
5、and,BarberandLyon(1997)provesthattheuseofreferenceportfolioorassetpricingmodelincalculationofabnormalreturnssuffersthreetypesofbiasesinlong-runstudy.Theproposedsolutionistomatchsamplefirmstonon-sampleparablefirmsofsimilarmarketcapitalizationandmarket-to-bookratios.Theusefulnessofanother
6、benchmarkmodel--theFama-Frenchthree-factormodel–seemstobelessefficientthantheprevioustethods(BarberandLyon1997,Brav2000).Anotherdifficultyarisesfromhoulateabnormalreturnsovertime.Itismontousecumulatedabnormalreturns(CAR)forshort-runstudy,butBarberandLyon(1997)arguesthatthismeasureisconc
7、eptuallyflaeasureoresensiblebasedonconceptualgroundsisthebuy-and-holdabnormalreturns(BHAR)etricsumsofabnormalreturnsratherthanarithmeticsumsasinCAR.Hosimulationshoalreturnsmoreoften.Tocorrectf-->orsuchbias,Lyon,BarberandTsai(1999)proposesthebootstrappedskepiricalstudyinthecurre
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