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1、Isittherighttimeforchinatointroduceatwo-childpolicy?1、目前父母是独生子女可生二胎Atpresent,ifparentsareonlychild,theycanhavetwofetuses2007年7月10日人口计生委发言:现在我们国家除了河南省以外,其他省市区的条例都规定:夫妻双方都是独生子女的,可以生两个孩子。目前,11%以上人口可生两个或两个以上孩子。OnJuly10,2007populationstatefamilyplanningcomm
2、issionspokesman:nowourcountryexceptoutsideofhenanprovince,Chinasettherulesoftheother,bothsidesofhusbandandwifeisthesingletonfemale,canhavetwochildren.Atpresent,morethan11%ofthepopulationcanhavetwoormorethantwochildren.中国人口年龄化的思考China'spopulationageofth
3、inking我国人口老龄化呈现以下特点:一是老年人口基数大。60岁以上老年人口是世界老年人口总量的1/5,是亚洲老年人口的1/2。二是老年人口增长速度快。从1980年到1999年,在不到20年的时间里,我国人口年龄结构就基本完成了从成年型向老年型的转变。近年来我国80岁以上高龄老人以年均约4.7%的速度增长,明显快于60岁以上老年人口的增长速度。四是地区老龄化程度差异较大。Thepopulationaginginourcountryshowsthefollowingcharacteristics:i
4、tisanoldbigpopulationbase.60yearsorolderpopulationistheelderlypopulation1/5ofthetotalamount;Asiaiselderlypopulation1/2.Twoelderlypopulationsaregrowingatafasterpace.From1980to1999,inlessthan20years,theChinapopulationagestructureisbasicaccomplishedfromth
5、eyoungstyletooldstyletransformation.InChinainrecentyearsmorethan80yearsoldbeelderly,onaverage,growingatabout4.7%,significantlyfasterthan60yearsorolderwiththerateofpopulationgrowth.Fourisagingingreatdifference.人口老龄化Theproblemofpopulationaging我国人口老龄化的主要特
6、点是:第一,人口老龄化提前达到高峰。20世纪后期,为控制人口的急剧增长,国家推行计划生育政策,使得人口出生率迅速下降,加快了我国人口老龄化的进程。由于下世纪前半叶人口压力仍然沉重,还要继续坚持计划生育的国策,其结果将不可避免地使我国提早达到人口老龄化高峰。第二,在社会经济不太发达状态下进入人口老龄化。Themaincharacteristicsofthepopulationaginginourcountryare:thefirst,thepopulationagingreachedapeakinad
7、vance.Thelatetwentiethcentury,forcontrolofthepopulationhasincreaseddramatically,countriescarryingoutfamilyplanningpolicy,makingthebirthratefellrapidly,tospeeduptheprocessofthepopulationaginginourcountry.Becausethefirstofnextcenturypopulationpressuresti
8、llheavy,willcontinuetoadheretothebasicnationalpolicyoffamilyplanning,theresultswillinevitablyearlyagingpopulationinourcountrytopeak.Second,inthesocialeconomyisn'tverydevelopedstateintothepopulationaging.1、新中国建立初,中国人口人数Sincethefoundingof