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1、·[2009.4.30]Thepandemicthreat世界性大规模流行病的威胁Pandemics世界性大规模流行病Thepandemicthreat世界性大规模流行病的威胁Apr30th2009FromTheEconomistprinteditionIt’sdeadlyserious;soevenifthecurrentthreatfades,theworldneedstobebetterarmed情况极其严重；因此即便眼下的威胁消除，整个世界都需要更有效地做好应对准备。IllustrationbyKALITISsaidthatnobattle-p
2、lansurvivescontactwiththeenemy.Thiswascertainlytrueoftheplandrawnupoverthepastfewyearstocombataninfluenza5.1-9,,services,andmakethecitymoreattractive,strengtheningpublictransportinvestment,establishedasthebackboneoftheurbanrailtransitmulti-level,multi-functionalpublictransportsy
3、stem,thusprotectingtheregionalpositionandachievepandemic.Thegeneralsofglobalhealthassumedthattheenemywouldbeavianflu,probablypassedfromhenstohumans,andthatitwouldstrikefirstinsouthernChinaorSouth-EastAsia.Infact,theflustartedinanunknownpig,andtheattackcameinMexico,notAsia.据说任何一份
4、作战计划接敌后就作废了。过去几年中制定的应对流感大规模爆发的计划毫无疑问就是这样。统帅全球卫生的将军们设想敌人将是可能是由鸡只传染给人类的禽流感，并且认为它将首先在华南地区或东南亚爆发。事实上，这场流感源自某一头猪，并首先在墨西哥爆发，而非亚洲。Thehens,though,deservesomecredit.Theworldhasnothadapandemic(aglobalepidemic)ofinfluenzasince1968.Fourdecadesarelongenoughtoforgetthatsomethingisdangerous,an
5、dpeoplemighthavedonesohadtheynotspentthepasttenyearsconsideringthepossibilitythataformofbirdfluwhichemergedinHongKongin1997mightbeonemutationawayfromgoingworldwide.鸡只们则应该得到表扬。上一次流感作为世界性大规模流行病（全球性的传染病流行）爆发还要追溯到1968年。四十年时间足以久到让人忘记危险的存在，要不是人们过去十年中一直在思考一种最先于1997年在香港出现的禽流感病毒变异后在全球爆发的
6、可能性的话，人们确实可能忘记这样的危险。Thenewepidemic(seearticle)wasraisedonApril29thtojustonenotchbelowthelevelofacertifiedpandemicbytheWorldHealthOrganisation.Inanefforttohaltthespreadofthedisease,Mexico’spresident,FelipeCalderón,hasannouncedthatnon-essentialservicesshouldclosedownbetweenMay1sta
7、nd5th,andpeopleshouldstayathome.Partofthereasonforworryisthat,unlikeordinaryflu,whichmostlycarriesofftheold,thevictimsofthisdiseasearemostlyyoungandotherwisehealthy.5.1-9,,services,andmakethecitymoreattractive,strengtheningpublictransportinvestment,establishedasthebackboneoftheu
8、rbanrailtransitmulti-level,multi-functionalpubl
