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1、谈谈房价中长期走势的因素（Talkingaboutthefactorsofmediumandlongtermtrendofhousingprice）TalkaboutthemediumandlongtermtrendofthepropertymarketPremierWensaid:"Ihavethedeterminationtomanagethismatterinthecurrenttermofthegovernment,sothattherealestatemarketwilldevelophealthilysothathousingpricescanremainata
2、reasonableprice".Thisisanopencommitment.First,theattitudeofthegovernmentPremierWen'scommitmentdependsonfourmeasures:Oneistoincreaseaffordablehousing;Twoistoencourageandsupportpeopletobuyhousingandimprovetheuseofhousing.Becauseofournationalconditions,weshouldfocusonlowpriceandsmallHuxing,th
3、egovernment'sresponsibilityismainlyinthelandandfinancialandfinancialsupport;Third,tocurbspeculativeandinvestmenthousing,mainlybyeconomicandlegalmeans;Fourth,wemustmanagethemarketwell.Thegovernmenthastheresponsibilitytomanagetherealestatemarket,thepunishmentofillegalactsisthelawforthosewith
4、outenclosure,propertyhoarding,driveupprices.Nowthecountryisnotonlytosuppressprices,realestatepoliciesoftheearlyrepeatandemphasize,istheuseoftwomeansofregulationandmarketmechanism,tomaintainareasonablescaleofrealestateinvestment,improvethesupplystructureofcommercialhousing,strengthenoversig
5、htandregulationofhousingprices,curbrealestatepricesrisingtoofast,keeppricesatareasonablelevel.Two,thethreemajorfactorsaffectingthepropertymarketUndertheconditionofmarketeconomy,thefollowingthreefactorsaffectthemediumandlong-termtrendofChina'scommodityhousingprices,thesefactorsalsodetermine
6、thelong-termstrategiclayoutofRealEstateCompany.Firstofall,thedistributionandchangeofChina'spopulationinspaceandtime,thatis,urbanizationanddemographicdividend,isthemostimportantfactordeterminingthelong-termtrendofChina'scommodityhousingprices.Therealestatedemanddependsonthetimedistributiona
7、ndspatialdistributionofthepopulation.Thetimedistributionandspatialdistributionofpopulationformedbyurbanizationwillinevitablyaffecttheperformanceofhousingpricesindifferentstagesandcities.Inthecitytherateoflessthan50%ofthetime,mainlyintheruralpopulationflowintot
