§ 决策的基本方法（the basic method of section of the decision）

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1、§14决策的基本方法（Thebasicmethodofsection14ofthedecision）Yourposition:thebasicmethodofsection14ofthedecisionThebasicmethodofsection14ofthedecisionTeachingpurposes:1.Distinguishbetweendeterministic,riskyanduncertaindecisionmakingconditions;2.Masterthreecommonlyus

2、eddecisionmakingmethods.Introduction:Inordertoensurethatthedecisionsmadebytheorganizationareasaccurateandeffectiveaspossible,scientificdecision-makingmethodsmustbeapplied.Anddecisionmethodscanbedividedintothreecategories:oneisthegroupdecisionmethodisakind

3、ofdecisionmakingmethodonorganizationorientationandcontents,oneistochoosedifferentprogramsengagedincertainactivitiesinthedirectionofthe.Elaboration:thecontentofthethreetypesofdecisionmethodsGroupdecisionmakingmethodInordertostimulategroupcreativity,organiz

4、ationscanusetheideasthatcanstimulatecreativeideasandcreativesolutionstohelpmanagerschoosedecisionalternatives.Introduction:commongroupdecisionmakingtechniques(1)brainstormingThefounderofbrainstormingisBritishpsychologistOsborn,agroupproblemsolvingtechniqu

5、ethatmanagerscometogethertoproduceanddebateawidevarietyofalternativesandmakedecisionsfromthem.Elaboration:theagendafollowedbyaspecialmeetingheldbyseveralmanagers(two)nominalgrouplawIncollectivedecision-making,nominalgrouptechniquescanbeusedifthenatureofth

6、eproblemisnotfullyunderstoodandthedifferencesofopinionareserious.Underthistechnique,membersofthegrouparenotbreathingtogether,noraretheydiscussingandnegotiatingtogether,sothatthegroupisnominal.Elaboration:theagendaofaspecialmeetingheldbyasmallgroupofmanage

7、rs(three)DelphyFaDelfifawasaqualitativepredictionmethodproposedbytheAmericanRandCoexpertsintheearly60stoavoidtheexistenceofcollectivediscussionandsuccumbtoauthorityorblindlyobeythemajority.Itusesanonymouswaytorepeatedlyconsultandcommunicatebacktoback,inor

8、dertogivefullplaytothewisdomofexperts,knowledgeandexperience,finallydrawaforecastingresultwhichcanreflectthewillofthegroup.Introduction:generalworkingprocedureofDelphimethodAnalysis:advantagesanddisadvantagesofthisa