巴克莱-美股-消费品-全球消费品:17年会议要点重申-2017.9.11-barclays-global consumer staples 17 conference recap reaffirmed, not reassured

巴克莱-美股-消费品-全球消费品:17年会议要点重申-2017.9.11-barclays-global consumer staples 17 conference recap reaffirmed, not reassured

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时间:2018-03-10

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1、EquityResearch11September2017GlobalConsumerStaplesINDUSTRYUPDATE‘17ConferenceRecap:Reaffirmed,AmericasAgribusinessNotReassuredNEUTRALUnchangedWeseetheglobalConsumerStaplescompaniesasbeingatachallengingcrossroadEuropeanConsumerStaplesgiventheseeminglygrow

2、ingmistrustofbigbrands,lowerbarrierstoentry,andNEUTRALdiminishedpricingpower,coupledwithpotentiallyunrealisticnear&longtermtargets.UnchangedWenamedthisdauntingcyclethe“SphereofDespair”inourNOTEon05/01/17,andhavesinceleveragedthisframeworkasweconsideranda

3、nalyzetheactionscompaniesU.S.CHPC&Beveragesaretakingtodriveafundamentalturnaroundintoday’soperatingenvironment.NEUTRALUnchangedWithinthiscontext,perhapsit’snotsurprisingthatmanyofthesethemesfeaturedprominentlyincompanypresentationsatour26thannualGlobalCo

4、nsumerStaplesU.S.FoodConference.Morespecifically,disruptionintheU.S.retailindustry,includingashiftNEUTRALtowarde-commerce,theriseofprivatelabelandincreaseddiscounterpenetration,roseUnchangedtotheforefrontasperhapsthemosttalkedaboutthemesoftheconference.U

5、.S.CHPC&BeveragesWeheardmanycompaniesdiscusstheactionstheyaretakingtoescapethe“SphereofLaurenR.LiebermanDespair”,includingsomefromthetriedandtrueplaybook(e.g.,steppingupadvertising+12125263112andR&Dsupportinabidtocontemporizecore,iconicbrandsandmorelocal

6、lyrelevantlauren.lieberman@barclays.cominnovation)aswellasothersfromalesstraditionalpath(e.g.,large-scaleM&A,ventureBCI,UScapital/smallscaleM&A,newbranddevelopmentorroute-to-marketchanges).Still,wethinkthefactthatnearlyeachcompany(saveNWL)reaffirmedguida

7、nce(withU.S.FoodmanystilllookingforEPSgrowthdespitethisbeingaself-described“reinvestmentAndrewLazaryear”)andnonetookdownlong-termguidancesuggeststhatmostarestillnotwilling+12125264668andrew.lazar@barclays.comtoswallowthebitterpillofadditionalpainfortheul

8、timategain.BCI,USWhilewegotthesensethatgrowthindevelopedmarketscouldcontinuetobepressuredinthenearterm,onebrightspotatourconferencewascommentaryaroundEuropeanConsumerStaplesAlexSmithimprovingemergingmarkettrends.Specifical

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