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ID:50192852
大小:1.60 MB
页数:45页
时间:2020-03-05
《人口抚养比对我国农村居民消费的影响研究——基于31个省市的面板数据.pdf》由会员上传分享,免费在线阅读,更多相关内容在学术论文-天天文库。
1、AbstractAtpresent,China’seconomyisfacedwiththesituationofinsufficientdomesticdemandandlowerconsumptionratio.Thelowhouseholdconsumptionratewillaffectthenormaloperationofthenationaleconomy.Overthelongterm,itwillhavebadinfluenceonthedevelopmentofeconomy.Sothispaperstartswithe
2、xpandingtheruralresidents’consumptionlevel,thenweanalysetheruralresidents’consumptionfromtheperspectiveofpopulationagestructure.Theresidents’consumptionincludesurbanresidents’consumptionandruralresidents’consumption.Thedatafromallprovincesindicatesthattheurbanresidents’con
3、sumptionlevelisgenerallyhigherthanruralresidents,about2.5timesthelevelofconsumptionofruralresidents.Wecantellfromthestatisticsthatthelatentcapacityofruralresidents’consumptionisrelativelylarge.Firstly,wereviewthedevelopmentofhouseholdconsumptionrateanddependencyratio.Thenw
4、eelaboratetherelatedtheoryaboutconsumption.Afterthat,weadaptchilddependencyratioandelderlydependencyratioasindextomeasurepopulationagestructure.Basedontheresearchofruralresidents’consumptionstructure,wealsousetheoreticalmodelandempiricalmodeltostudyit.Fromthetheoreticalmod
5、el,wegettheresultthatthosetwoindexeshaveuncertainimpactontheconsumptionlevelofruralresidents.Butfromtheempiricalanalysis,weknowthatthereisasignificantpositivecorrelationbetweenthechilddependencyratioandtheconsumptionofruralresidents,whichsupportTheLife-CycleTheory.Inthemea
6、ntime,elderlydependencyratiohasnosignificantimpactonruralresidents’consumption.Withtheseresults,wemakesomepolicycommendations.Keywords:populationagestructure;householdconsumption;childdependencyratio;elderlydependencyratioII目录摘要.............................................
7、..................IAbstract..........................................................II目录.............................................................III1绪论.............................................................11.1研究背景................................................
8、...11.2研究内容...................................................21.3可能的创新点与不足..............
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