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1、AdvancesinGeosciences地球科学前沿,2013,3,106-111doi:10.12677/ag.2013.32015PublishedOnlineApril2013(http://www.hanspub.org/journal/ag.html)AnalysisandPredictionofGeo-EnvironmentalCarryingCapacityinEconomicZone*alongtheYellowRiver122JintaoLiu,XiaolinWang,WeiXia1GeneralInstituteo
2、fWaterResourcesandHydropowerPlanningandDesign,MinistryofWaterResources,Beijing2SchoolofWaterResourcesandEnvironment,ChinaUniversityofGeosciences,BeijingEmail:jinxiaomei26@gmail.comstththReceived:Feb.21,2013;revised:Mar.5,2013;accepted:Mar.17,2013Copyright©2013JintaoLiuet
3、al.ThisisanopenaccessarticledistributedundertheCreativeCommonsAttributionLicense,whichpermitsunre-stricteduse,distribution,andreproductioninanymedium,providedtheoriginalworkisproperlycited.Abstract:Locatedinaridarea,NingxiaAutonomousRegionistheimportantecologicalbarrieri
4、nnorthwestChinaanditseco-environmentisfragile.TheEconomicZonealongtheYellowRivermainlyconsistsofYinchuanplainandWeiningplain.Itistheareawithconcentratedvariesproductionfactorsandeconomicactivities.Consistingofgeo-environmentalsubsystem,eco-environmentalsubsystemandsocial
5、environmentalsubsystem,theevaluationindexsys-temwassetupbasedonGIS.Theevaluationmodelofcomplexsystemwasusedtoassessthegeo-environmentalcar-ryingcapacityandtheEconomicZonewasclassifiedassuitableconstructionarea,slightcontrolconstructionareaandmoderatecontrolconstructionar
6、ea.Finally,theenvironmentalgeologicalproblemsuchassoilsalinization,landdeser-tification,groundsubsidence,depletionofregionalgroundwaterlevelandgroundwaterpollutionwereanalyzedandpredictedqualitatively.Keywords:Geo-EnvironmentalCarryingCapacity;EnvironmentalGeologicalProb
7、lems;EvaluationIndexSystem;EconomicZonealongtheYellowRiver宁夏沿黄经济区地质环境承载力*分析及预测122刘金韬,王晓林,夏薇1水利部水利水电规划设计总院,北京2中国地质大学(北京)水资源与环境学院,北京Email:jinxiaomei26@gmail.com收稿日期:2013年2月21日;修回日期:2013年3月5日;录用日期:2013年3月17日摘要:宁夏地区地处西北干旱区,是我国西部重要生态屏障,生态环境脆弱。沿黄经济区主要包括银川、卫宁两大平原区,是宁夏各种生产要素和经济活
8、动最为集中的地区。文章基于GIS技术,构建由地质环境子系统、生态环境子系统和社会环境子系统组成的评价指标体系,建立复合系统评价模型,对宁夏沿黄经济区的地质环境承载力进行了分区评价,将宁夏沿黄经济区分为适宜建