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时间:2018-05-13
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1、本科毕业论文外文外文题目:BehavioralFinance出处Pacific-BasinFinanceJournalVol.11,No.4,(September2003)pp.429-437作者:JayR.Ritter原文:BehavioralFinanceThisarticleprovidesabriefintroductiontobehavioralfinance.Behavioralfinanceencompassesresearchthatdropsthetraditionalassumptionsofexpectedutilitymaximizationwithrati
2、onalinvestorsinefficientmarkets.Thetwobuildingblocksofbehavioralfinancearecognitivepsychology(howpeoplethink)andthelimitstoarbitrage(whenmarketswillbeinefficient).Thegrowthofbehavioralfinanceresearchhasbeenfueledbytheinabilityofthetraditionalframeworktoexplainmanyempiricalpatterns,includingsto
3、ckmarketbubblesinJapan,Taiwan,andtheU.S.1.IntroductionBehavioralfinanceistheparadigmwherefinancialmarketsarestudiedusingmodelsthatarelessnarrowthanthosebasedonVonNeumann-Morgensternexpectedutilitytheoryandarbitrageassumptions.Specifically,behavioralfinancehastwobuildingblocks:cognitivepsycholo
4、gyandthelimitstoarbitrage.Cognitivereferstohowpeoplethink.Thereisahugepsychologyliteraturedocumentingthatpeoplemakesystematicerrorsinthewaythattheythink:theyareoverconfident,theyputtoomuchweightonrecentexperience,etc.Theirpreferencesmayalsocreatedistortions.Behavioralfinanceusesthisbodyofknowl
5、edge,ratherthantakingthearrogantapproachthatitshouldbeignored.Limitstoarbitragereferstopredictinginwhatcircumstancesarbitrageforceswillbeeffective,andwhentheywon'tbe.Behavioralfinanceusesmodelsinwhichsomeagentsarenotfullyrational,eitherbecauseofpreferencesorbecauseofmistakenbeliefs.Anexampleof
6、anassumptionaboutpreferencesisthatpeoplearelossaverse-a$2gainmightmakepeoplefeelbetterbyasmuchasa$1lossmakesthemfeelworse.MistakenbeliefsarisebecausepeoplearebadBayesians.ModernfinancehasasabuildingblocktheEfficientMarketsHypothesis(EMH).TheEMHarguesthatcompetitionbetweeninvestorsseekingabnorm
7、alprofitsdrivespricestotheir“correct”value.TheEMHdoesnotassumethatallinvestorsarerational,butitdoesassumethatmarketsarerational.TheEMHdoesnotassumethatmarketscanforeseethefuture,butitdoesassumethatmarketsmakeunbiasedforecastsofthefuture
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