基于外部冲击视角的蛋鸡供应链价格传导机制研究_以江西省为例

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1、2014୍36ज22௹ChinaPoultryVol.36đNo.22.2014ൌဒ࿹࣮◎◎Ӂြࣜ࠶◎◎ࠎႿຓԊࠌ൪࢘࠙܂ႋ৽ࡎ۬Ԯࠏᇅ࿹࣮iiၛࡾ༆സູ২122ᇛြݢđڱᐕđᅦ݉ૹč1.ࣴࡾ࿐ჽഅ࿐ჽđࡾ༆ࣴࡾ332005Ġ2.ଲӄն࿐ࣜ࠶აܵ৘࿐ჽđࡾ༆ଲӄ330031Ďᅋေğၛࡾ༆സ࠙܂ႋ৽ࡎ۬༢๤ູ࿹࣮ؓའđҐႨ2002୍1ᄅ~2013୍11ᄅ࠙܂ႋ৽۬ࡎ৽ႋ܂࠙ؓࠌԊຓਔ༅ٳ෿׮ඔݦႋཙԊઝႨᄎđऌඔᄅ۬ࡎ௖Ӂࢫߌ۲Ԯࠏᇅ႕ཙb࿹࣮іૼđᄝຓԊࠌ༯߶ࡆखࡾ༆࠙܂ႋ৽۲ߌࢫࡎ۬ѯ׮đหљ൞࠙ࡎק၂ᄝթੱིԮ۬ࡎࢫߌ๝҂ؓ౏đಆປ҂൞־Ԯ۬ࡎ֌đ۬ҵၳྟބᇌުྟbऌ

2、ՎิԛᆟҦࡹၰၛႋ۬ࡎ৽ႋ܂࠙സ༆ࡾؓࠌԊຓؓԮ႕ཙbܱ࡯Սğ࠙܂ႋ৽Ġࡎ۬ԮĠຓԊࠌĠઝԊཙႋݦඔPriceTransmissionMechanismofLayingHensSupplyChaininJiangxifromthePerspectiveofExternalShocks122ZHOUYefuđHANXiđZHANGGuiminč1.SchoolofBusinessđJiujiangUniversityđJiujiangđJiangxi332005Ġ2.SchoolofManagementandEconomicsđNanchangUniversityđNanc

3、hangđJiangxi330031ĎAbstractğFromtheperspectiveofexternalshocksđthepricetransmissionmechanismoflayinghenssupplychaininJiangxiprovincewasanalyzedwithimpulseresponsefunction.ThemonthlypricedatesđincludedthewholesupplychainlinkđcoveredtheperiodfromJanuary2002toNovember2013.What′smoređtheprice

4、transmissionmechanismwasdeterminedbyimpulseresponsefunction.TheresultsshowedthatexternalshockswouldaggravatethepricefluctuationoflayinghenssupplychaininJiangxiđespeciallytheeggprice.Howeverđthepricetransmissionefficiencywasincompleteandhadsomedifferenceandlaggedonthedifferentlinks.Finally

5、đsomepolicysuggestionswereputforwardtodealwithexternalshocksonthepricetransmissionoflayinghenssupplychaininJiangxi.KeywordsğlayinghenssupplychainĠpricetransmissionĠexternalshocksĠimpulseresponsefunction໡۲۱ٮཨᇔਘݓնቋਈӁބਈအ඼࠙ഈࢸൗ൞ݓߌࢫđ܂ႋ৽่ࢠӉđടࠣߌࡅđ࠙အᆲᄝᄹࡆ࠙൧ӆ܂ႋaิۚ୪૶൬ೆࢫگᄖđ҂ࣇ൳ଽ܂౰༢๤႕ཙđ္૫ਢሢൊٚ૫ߨሢᇗေቔႨb࠙܂ႋ

6、৽ЇݣՖളӁሧ௖νಆ൙ࡱaౚၦѨaࣁವາࠏຓള҂ಒקྟگᄖၹ෍Ԋࠌb୍࣍টđࡾ༆സ࠙အᆲ޼အ൬۠ರ௹ğ2014-09-20ᆲӮЧࢠۚđط൬ၭႻཌྷؓࢠđအᆲ޼໭م్ൌྩ߭ರ௹ğ2014-10-28ཚ൳ᆜ่࠙Ӂြ܂ႋ৽෮ջটऍն০*ࠎࣁཛଢğ2014ࡾ༆സ࢝ტ๏॓࠯ཛଢčGJJ14728ĎĠ2014ࡾ༆സ॓࠯๏ೈ॓࿐ཛଢč20144BBA10031ĎၭbႭః൞ౚੀۋࠥѨ঒ಠđအᆲڄགࡆնđအ-33-2014୍36ज22௹ChinaPoultryVol.36đNo.22.2014ൌဒ࿹࣮ᆲ޼০ၭ۬ࡎ৽ႋ܂࠙൞۬ࡎ૎޼ᆲအ؟ᇙ൐đᅰЌم໭ࡆ۷Ԯ༢๤ᇗေቆӮ൳ਔऍն෥ാđᆃུ໙ี႕

7、ཙਔ࠙အᆲ޼ٳb࡫Ⴟ୍ඔऌऎႵࢠ఼ሸކྟđႅҟਔсࠒࠞྟbՎຓđ೘ऊ౥ςaࣁವາࠏo࠙အᆲေࡎ۬๬эྐ༏đЧ໓ҐႨ2002୍1ᄅ~2013୍ြڄВpຓԊࠌؓ࠙Ӂ௖ࡎ۬႕ཙᄀটᄀ11ᄅႨԠ࠙ࡎ۬čDYCJĎaზ૜ࡎ۬čYMJGĎaնđ࠙အᆲြࡎ۬ѯ׮௔َđؓӬཔं૶ളࠃཨ׸௨ࡎ۬čDPJGĎaཬચ᳭ࡎ۬čMFJGĎa࠙஥ކٮބ࠙အᆲ޼൬ೆମᇀᆜ۱ഠ߶ޡܴࣜ࠶ᄯӮ඼ਘࡎ۬čPHSLĎa࠙ࡎ۬čJDJGĎᄅඔऌđŀ1~3łਔ࿸ᇗ႕ཙđᇅჿਔ࠙အᆲြࡲूᅚb࿹࣮ຓԊࠌ༯ࡾ༆࠙܂ႋ৽ࡎ۬Ԯࠏᇅ๙ݖ൸৘ܱႿຓԊࠌؓ୪Ӂ௖Ӂြ৽ࡎ۬ඔऌनট